Tropical Storm ALEX

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TROPICAL STORM ALEX FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  10
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL012004
2100Z MON AUG 02 2004
 
AT 5 PM EDT...2100Z...A HURRICANE WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED FROM CAPE
LOOKOUT TO OREGON INLET NORTH CAROLINA...INCLUDING THE PAMLICO
SOUND.  THIS MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN
THE WARNING AREA DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT
LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.
 
AT 5 PM EDT...A TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED FROM NORTH OF
OREGON INLET TO THE NORTH CAROLINA/VIRGINIA BORDER...INCLUDING THE
ALBEMARLE SOUND.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SOUTH SANTEE RIVER
SOUTH CAROLINA TO CAPE LOOKOUT NORTH CAROLINA.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 32.1N  78.5W AT 02/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OR  25 DEGREES AT   5 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  993 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  50 KT WITH GUSTS TO  60 KT.
50 KT....... 30NE  30SE  20SW  20NW.
34 KT....... 75NE  90SE  50SW  30NW.
12 FT SEAS..100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 32.1N  78.5W AT 02/2100Z
AT 02/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 31.8N  78.7W
 
FORECAST VALID 03/0600Z 33.1N  77.6W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  20SW  20NW.
34 KT... 75NE  90SE  50SW  30NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 03/1800Z 34.8N  75.3W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT... 90NE  90SE  60SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 04/0600Z 36.7N  72.0W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT... 90NE  90SE  60SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 04/1800Z 39.0N  67.0W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE  60SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 05/1800Z 44.0N  54.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...100NE 300SE  50SW  50NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 06/1800Z...ABSORBED BY EXTRATROPICAL LOW
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 32.1N  78.5W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 03/0300Z
 
FORECASTER FRANKLIN
 
 
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