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Tropical Storm AGATHA


ZCZC MIATCDEP1 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
TROPICAL DEPRESSION AGATHA DISCUSSION NUMBER  11
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
8 AM PDT MON MAY 24 2004
 
THERE IS NO DEEP CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH AGATHA AT THE PRESENT
TIME. THIS SYSTEM MAY GENERATE SOME INTERMITTENT AND ISOLATED DEEP
CONVECTION BUT IT IS LIKELY TO CONTINUE TO WEAKEN AS IT IS EMBEDDED
WITHIN A STABLE ATMOSPHERIC ENVIRONMENT AND OVER SEA SURFACE
TEMPERATURES COOLER THAN 25 DEG C. DEGENERATION TO A NON-CONVECTIVE
REMNANT LOW IS LIKELY LATER TODAY.
 
FIRST LIGHT VISIBLE IMAGERY REQUIRES A RELOCATION OF AGATHA EAST OF
THE PREVIOUS ADVISORY POSITION.  THE INITIAL MOTION IS NOW
ESTIMATED TO BE 330/3. THERE CONTINUES TO BE DIVERSITY IN THE TRACK
GUIDANCE AS STEERING CURRENTS ARE NOT WELL DEFINED.  THE OFFICIAL
FORECAST IS SIMILAR TO THE PREVIOUS ADVISORY IN CALLING FOR LITTLE
OVERALL MOTION OF THE DISSIPATING SYSTEM OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL
DAYS.
 
FORECASTER FRANKLIN
 
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
 
INITIAL      24/1500Z 19.1N 111.1W    30 KT
 12HR VT     25/0000Z 19.5N 111.5W    25 KT...DISSIPATING
 24HR VT     25/1200Z 20.0N 112.0W    20 KT...REMNANT LOW
 36HR VT     26/0000Z 20.0N 112.0W    20 KT...REMNANT LOW
 48HR VT     26/1200Z 20.0N 112.0W    20 KT...REMNANT LOW
 72HR VT     27/1200Z 20.0N 112.0W    20 KT...REMNANT LOW
 96HR VT     28/1200Z...DISSIPATED
 
 
$$
NNNN


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Page last modified: Friday, 02-Jul-2004 17:31:57 UTC