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Tropical Storm OTTO


ZCZC MIATCDAT1 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
TROPICAL DEPRESSION OTTO DISCUSSION NUMBER   8
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
10 AM EST THU DEC 02 2004

HIGH-RESOLUTION DATA FROM A QUIKSCAT OVERPASS JUST AFTER 09Z
INDICATE THAT THE MAXIMUM WINDS IN THE CIRCULATION HAVE NOW DROPPED
BELOW GALE FORCE.  THE SYSTEM IS ESSENTIALLY DEVOID OF DEEP
CONVECTION...SO OTTO IS DEGENERATING INTO A REMNANT LOW PRESSURE
SYSTEM.  STRONG WESTERLY SHEAR ACROSS THE AREA SHOULD PREVENT ANY
SIGNIFICANT REGENERATION OF THE CYCLONE.

THE SYSTEM HAS BEEN MOVING A LITTLE WEST OF SOUTH OVER THE PAST
SEVERAL HOURS.  A SLOW AND GENERALLY SOUTHWARD MOTION IS FORECAST
OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS WHILE OTTO'S REMNANTS CONTINUE TO SPIN
DOWN.  BASED ON THE CURRENT MOTION...THE OFFICIAL FORECAST TRACK IS
A LITTLE TO THE WEST OF THE GUIDANCE.

THIS IS THE LAST ADVISORY ON OTTO.  ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON THE
REMNANT LOW OF OTTO CAN BE FOUND IN HIGH SEAS FORECASTS ISSUED BY
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE...UNDER AWIPS HEADER NFDHSFAT1 AND WMO
HEADER FZNT01 KWBC.

FORECASTER PASCH
 
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
 
INITIAL      02/1500Z 28.8N  50.6W    30 KT...DISSIPATING
 12HR VT     03/0000Z 27.8N  50.7W    25 KT...REMNANT LOW
 24HR VT     03/1200Z 26.7N  50.6W    25 KT...REMNANT LOW
 36HR VT     04/0000Z 25.5N  50.5W    25 KT...REMNANT LOW
 48HR VT     04/1200Z 24.5N  50.5W    20 KT...REMNANT LOW
 72HR VT     05/1200Z 24.0N  50.5W    20 KT...REMNANT LOW
 96HR VT     06/1200Z...DISSIPATED
 
 
$$
NNNN


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Page last modified: Thursday, 02-Dec-2004 14:23:45 UTC