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Hurricane OLAF


ZCZC MIATCPEP5 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM OLAF SPECIAL ADVISORY NUMBER  14
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
11 AM PDT MON OCT 06 2003
 
...OLAF MUCH WEAKER...RELOCATED TO THE SOUTHEAST...

AT 11 AM PDT...1800Z...THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS DISCONTINUED THE
HURRICANE WARNING AND THE HURRICANE WATCH...AND ADJUSTED THE
LOCATION OF THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING.  A TROPICAL STORM WARNING
IS NOW IN EFFECT FROM PUNTA SAN TELMO TO CABO CORRIENTES.
 
BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...THE CENTER OF OLAF HAS BEEN RELOCATED
WELL TO THE SOUTHEAST OF THE PREVIOUS ADVISORY POSITION.
 
AT 11 AM PDT...1800Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM OLAF WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 17.8 NORTH... LONGITUDE 104.3 WEST OR ABOUT 85
MILES...140 KM...SOUTH OF MANZANILLO.
 
OLAF IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 6 MPH ... 9 KM/HR. A
NORTHWARD MOTION IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ON THE
FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF OLAF WILL BE INLAND OR VERY CLOSE TO
THE COAST BY EARLY TUESDAY.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR  40 MPH... 65 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT
24 HOURS.
 
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO  35 MILES
... 55 KM FROM THE CENTER.
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1000 MB...29.53 INCHES.
 
ABOVE NORMAL TIDES ARE LIKELY ALONG THE COAST IN THE WARNING AREA
TODAY.
 
LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS ASSOCIATED WITH OLAF COULD CAUSE
LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUDSLIDES.

REPEATING THE 11 AM PDT POSITION...17.8 N...104.3 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR  6 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 40 MPH.  MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1000 MB.
 
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
 
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
2 PM PDT.
 
FORECASTER FRANKLIN
 
 
NNNN



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Page last modified: Monday, 07-Feb-2005 16:50:09 UTC