Tropical Storm CARLOS

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TROPICAL STORM CARLOS INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER   4A
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
5 PM PDT THU JUN 26 2003
 
...CARLOS HEADING FOR THE SOUTH COAST OF MEXICO...
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTHERN COAST OF
MEXICO FROM SALINA CRUZ TO ZIHUATANEJO.  INTERESTS ELSEWHERE ALONG
THE SOUTHERN AND SOUTHWESTERN COAST OF MEXICO SHOULD MONITOR THE
PROGRESS OF CARLOS.
 
AT 5 PM PDT...0000Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM CARLOS WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 15.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE  97.6 WEST OR ABOUT 40
MILES...65 KM...SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF PUERTO ESCONDIDO ON THE SOUTH
COAST OF MEXICO.
 
CARLOS IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 5 MPH...7 KM/HR.  A GRADUAL
TURN TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 12 TO 24
HOURS.  THIS MOTION WOULD BRING THE CENTER NEAR OR ON THE COAST
LATER TONIGHT.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 50 MPH... 85 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS EXPECTED TONIGHT.
 
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO  60 MILES
... 95 KM FROM THE CENTER.
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 999 MB...29.50 INCHES.
 
RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 8 TO 12 INCHES...WITH ISOLATED HIGHER
AMOUNTS...CAN BE EXPECTED NEAR THE PATH OF CARLOS.  THESE RAINS
COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES IN
MOUNTAINOUS AREAS.
 
REPEATING THE 5 PM PDT POSITION...15.4 N... 97.6 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTH NEAR  5 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 50 MPH.  MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...999 MB.
 
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
 
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER AT 8 PM PDT.
 
FORECASTER PASCH
 
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