Tropical Storm LARRY

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BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM LARRY ADVISORY NUMBER  10
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
10 PM CDT FRI OCT 03 2003

...LARRY DRIFTS SLOWLY AND ERRATICALLY TOWARD THE SOUTHWEST...
 
AT 10 PM CDT...0000Z...THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS EXTENDED THE
TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND HURRICANE WATCH NORTHWARD FROM VERACRUZ
TO TUXPAN.  A TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND HURRICANE WATCH ARE NOW IN
EFFECT ALONG THE GULF COAST OF MEXICO FROM TUXPAN TO CAMPECHE.
  
AT 10 PM CDT...0300Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM LARRY WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 19.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE  94.7 WEST OR ABOUT
105 MILES...170 KM...EAST-NORTHEAST OF VERACRUZ MEXICO.
 
LARRY IS DRIFTING SLOWLY AND ERRATICALLY TOWARD THE SOUTHWEST AND A
MOSTLY SOUTHWARD DRIFT IS EXPECTED ON SATURDAY.  THIS MOTION IS
EXPECTED TO MOVE LARRY CLOSER TO THE COAST OF MEXICO.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR  60 MPH... 95 KM/HR...WITH
HIGHER GUSTS.  SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24
HOURS.  A RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT WILL BE IN AREA EARLY SATURDAY
MORNING TO DETERMINE IF LARRY HAS STRENGTHENED.
 
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 145 MILES
...230 KM FROM THE CENTER.
 
THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS  995 MB...29.38 INCHES.
 
COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING IS EXPECTED TO GRADUALLY INCREASE IN
AREAS OF ONSHORE FLOW WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...ACCOMPANIED BY
LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES.
 
LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS ASSOCIATED WITH LARRY ARE SPREADING ONSHORE
OVER PORTIONS OF SOUTHEASTERN MEXICO.  THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE
LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUDSLIDES.
 
REPEATING THE 10 PM CDT POSITION...19.8 N... 94.7 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...SOUTHWEST NEAR  2 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 60 MPH.  MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 995 MB.
 
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
 
AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER AT 1 AM CDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT
COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 4 AM CDT.
 
FORECASTER LAWRENCE
 
 
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