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Hurricane ISABEL


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TROPICAL STORM ISABEL INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER  52A
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
2 AM EDT FRI SEP 19 2003
 
...ISABEL CONTINUES TO WEAKEN OVER NORTHERN VIRGINIA...
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NORTH OF CURRITUCK
BEACH LIGHT NORTH CAROLINA TO MORICHES INLET NEW YORK...INCLUDING
CHESAPEAKE BAY...THE TIDAL POTOMAC AND DELAWARE BAY.  WARNINGS WILL
LIKELY BE LOWERED ALONG PORTIONS OF THE NORTH CAROLINA AND VIRGINIA
COASTS LATER THIS MORNING.
 
AT 2 AM EDT...0600Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ISABEL WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 38.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE  78.4 WEST OR JUST
NORTH OF CHARLOTTESVILLE VIRGINIA.
 
ISABEL IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 23 MPH. A GRADUAL
TURN TO THE NORTH WITH AN INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS ANTICIPATED.
ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF ISABEL IS EXPECTED TO MOVE
ACROSS WESTERN PENNSYLVANIA AND THE EASTERN GREAT LAKES DURING THE
NEXT 24 HOURS.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 60 MPH WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. ALTHOUGH ISABEL WILL CONTINUE TO WEAKEN AS IT MOVES OVER
LAND...STRONG WINDS GUSTS...MAY BE EXPERIENCED WELL INLAND ALONG
THE TRACK OVER ELEVATED TERRAIN...AS WELL AS ON HIGH-RISE BUILDINGS
AND OTHER STRUCTURES.
 
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 345 MILES TO THE
NORTHEAST OF THE CENTER.  DURING THE PAST FEW HOURS...REAGAN
NATIONAL AIRPORT IN WASHINGTON DC HAS REPORTED SUSTAINED WINDS OF
45 MPH WITH A GUST TO 58 MPH...AND THE NAVAL STATION AT PATUXENT
RIVER MARYLAND HAS REPORTED SUSTAINED WINDS OF 56 MPH WITH A GUST
TO 69 MPH.  THE MARINE CORPS AIR STATION AT QUANTICO VIRGINIA HAS
ESTIMATED A WIND GUST OF 78 MPH.
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS  978 MB...28.88 INCHES.
 
STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 2 TO 4 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS...
ALONG WITH LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES...MAY STILL
OCCUR ALONG THE ATLANTIC COAST WITHIN THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING
AREA. STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 4 TO 6 FT ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS IS
STILL POSSIBLE IN CHESAPEAKE BAY AND THE TIDAL PORTIONS OF ADJACENT
RIVERS.  STORM SURGE FLOODING ALONG THE OUTER BANKS SHOULD GRADUALLY
SUBSIDE TODAY.
 
ADDITIONAL RAINFALL TOTALS OF 3 TO 5 INCHES...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER
AMOUNTS...ARE LIKELY IN ASSOCIATION WITH ISABEL.
 
THERE IS A THREAT OF ISOLATED TORNADOES OVER EASTERN VIRGINIA AND
SOUTHEASTERN MARYLAND TODAY.
 
REPEATING THE 2 AM EDT POSITION...38.3 N... 78.4 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 23 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60
MPH.  MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 978 MB.
 
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE...AND STATEMENTS FROM
LOCAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT OFFICIALS.
 
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER AT 5 AM EDT.
 
FORECASTER BEVEN
 
 
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