Hurricane ISABEL
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HURRICANE ISABEL PROBABILITIES NUMBER 51
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
5 PM EDT THU SEP 18 2003
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
AT 5 PM EDT...2100Z...THE CENTER OF ISABEL WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 36.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 77.1 WEST
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE HURRICANE PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH 2PM EDT SUN SEP 21 2003
LOCATION A B C D E LOCATION A B C D E
43.5N 79.7W 27 10 X X 37 CAPE HATTERAS NC 99 X X X 99
49.5N 79.6W X 12 8 X 20 NORFOLK VA 75 X X X 75
55.5N 76.5W X X 7 X 7 OCEAN CITY MD 2 X X X 2
MOREHEAD CITY NC 99 X X X 99
COLUMN DEFINITION PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 2PM FRI
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM 2PM FRI TO 2AM SAT
C FROM 2AM SAT TO 2PM SAT
D FROM 2PM SAT TO 2PM SUN
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 2PM SUN
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
FORECASTER FRANKLIN
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