Hurricane ISABEL
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HURRICANE ISABEL PROBABILITIES NUMBER 49
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
5 AM EDT THU SEP 18 2003
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
AT 5 AM EDT...0900Z...THE CENTER OF ISABEL WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 33.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 74.7 WEST
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE HURRICANE PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH 2AM EDT SUN SEP 21 2003
LOCATION A B C D E LOCATION A B C D E
37.9N 78.2W 32 2 X X 34 MONTAUK POINT NY X 1 3 X 4
41.4N 78.5W X 18 4 X 22 PROVIDENCE RI X 1 3 X 4
47.0N 78.0W X X 10 3 13 NANTUCKET MA X X 2 X 2
WILMINGTON NC 23 X X X 23 HYANNIS MA X X 2 1 3
MOREHEAD CITY NC 77 X X X 77 BOSTON MA X X 3 1 4
CAPE HATTERAS NC 65 X X X 65 PORTLAND ME X X 3 1 4
NORFOLK VA 36 X X X 36 BAR HARBOR ME X X 1 2 3
OCEAN CITY MD 9 7 X X 16 EASTPORT ME X X 1 1 2
ATLANTIC CITY NJ 2 10 2 X 14 ST JOHN NB X X X 2 2
NEW YORK CITY NY X 6 4 X 10 MONCTON NB X X X 2 2
COLUMN DEFINITION PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 2AM FRI
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM 2AM FRI TO 2PM FRI
C FROM 2PM FRI TO 2AM SAT
D FROM 2AM SAT TO 2AM SUN
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 2AM SUN
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
FORECASTER BEVEN
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