Hurricane ISABEL

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HURRICANE ISABEL PROBABILITIES NUMBER  45
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
5 AM EDT WED SEP 17 2003
 
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
 
AT 5 AM EDT...0900Z...THE CENTER OF ISABEL WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 29.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE  72.2 WEST
 
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE HURRICANE PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  2AM EDT SAT SEP 20 2003
 
LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E
 
33.0N  74.6W      40  X  X  X 40   OCEAN CITY MD      X  5  9  2 16
35.2N  76.4W       7 20  1  X 28   ATLANTIC CITY NJ   X  1  6  6 13
38.2N  78.2W       X  8 11  1 20   NEW YORK CITY NY   X  X  2  8 10
CHARLESTON SC      1  4  2  X  7   MONTAUK POINT NY   X  X  X  7  7
MYRTLE BEACH SC    3 12  1  X 16   PROVIDENCE RI      X  X  X  6  6
WILMINGTON NC      7 16  1  X 24   NANTUCKET MA       X  X  X  4  4
MOREHEAD CITY NC  12 16  1  X 29   HYANNIS MA         X  X  X  4  4
CAPE HATTERAS NC   9 18  X  X 27   BOSTON MA          X  X  X  5  5
NORFOLK VA         X 18  4  X 22   PORTLAND ME        X  X  X  3  3
 
COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2AM THU
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  2AM THU TO  2PM THU
C FROM  2PM THU TO  2AM FRI
D FROM  2AM FRI TO  2AM SAT
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2AM SAT
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
 
FORECASTER BEVEN
 
 
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