Hurricane ISABEL
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HURRICANE ISABEL PROBABILITIES NUMBER 31
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
5 PM AST SAT SEP 13 2003
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
AT 5 PM AST...2100Z...THE CENTER OF ISABEL WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 22.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 62.6 WEST
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE HURRICANE PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH 2PM AST TUE SEP 16 2003
LOCATION A B C D E LOCATION A B C D E
23.7N 66.2W 57 X X X 57 MYSM 241N 745W X X 1 8 9
24.4N 68.0W 16 21 X X 37 MYEG 235N 758W X X X 4 4
25.2N 69.4W X 24 4 X 28 MYAK 241N 776W X X X 2 2
MBJT 215N 712W X 1 4 2 7 MYNN 251N 775W X X X 3 3
MYMM 224N 730W X X 3 5 8 MYGF 266N 787W X X X 2 2
COLUMN DEFINITION PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 2PM SUN
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM 2PM SUN TO 2AM MON
C FROM 2AM MON TO 2PM MON
D FROM 2PM MON TO 2PM TUE
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 2PM TUE
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
FORECASTER STEWART
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