Hurricane ISABEL
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HURRICANE ISABEL PROBABILITIES NUMBER 19
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
5 PM AST WED SEP 10 2003
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
AT 5 PM AST...2100Z...THE CENTER OF ISABEL WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 21.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 51.9 WEST
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE HURRICANE PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH 2PM AST SAT SEP 13 2003
LOCATION A B C D E LOCATION A B C D E
TFFR 163N 615W X X X 2 2 ST CROIX VI X X X 2 2
TAPA 171N 618W X X X 3 3 ST THOMAS VI X X X 3 3
TKPK 173N 627W X X X 3 3 SAN JUAN PR X X X 2 2
TNCM 181N 631W X X X 5 5
COLUMN DEFINITION PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 2PM THU
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM 2PM THU TO 2AM FRI
C FROM 2AM FRI TO 2PM FRI
D FROM 2PM FRI TO 2PM SAT
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 2PM SAT
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
FORECASTER STEWART
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