Tropical Storm HENRI
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TROPICAL DEPRESSION HENRI PROBABILITIES NUMBER 21
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
5 PM EDT MON SEP 08 2003
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
AT 5 PM EDT...2100Z...THE DEPRESSION CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 33.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 75.0 WEST
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE DEPRESSION PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH 2PM EDT THU SEP 11 2003
LOCATION A B C D E LOCATION A B C D E
34.0N 73.0W 34 X X X 34 NORFOLK VA X 2 1 3 6
34.5N 72.0W 17 3 1 1 22 OCEAN CITY MD X 1 2 3 6
35.0N 71.0W 7 6 2 2 17 ATLANTIC CITY NJ X X 2 2 4
MYSM 241N 745W X X X 2 2 NEW YORK CITY NY X X 1 3 4
MYEG 235N 758W X X X 2 2 MONTAUK POINT NY X X 2 3 5
MYAK 241N 776W X X X 2 2 PROVIDENCE RI X X 1 3 4
MYNN 251N 775W X X X 3 3 NANTUCKET MA X X 2 4 6
MYGF 266N 787W X X X 3 3 HYANNIS MA X X 1 4 5
BERMUDA X X X 3 3 BOSTON MA X X 1 3 4
MIAMI FL X X X 2 2 PORTLAND ME X X X 2 2
W PALM BEACH FL X X X 2 2 BAR HARBOR ME X X X 3 3
FT PIERCE FL X X X 2 2 EASTPORT ME X X X 3 3
COCOA BEACH FL X X X 2 2 ST JOHN NB X X X 2 2
DAYTONA BEACH FL X X X 2 2 MONCTON NB X X X 2 2
CHARLESTON SC X X X 2 2 YARMOUTH NS X X X 4 4
MYRTLE BEACH SC X X 1 2 3 HALIFAX NS X X X 3 3
WILMINGTON NC X 1 1 3 5 SABLE ISLAND NS X X X 2 2
MOREHEAD CITY NC 1 3 2 2 8 SYDNEY NS X X X 2 2
CAPE HATTERAS NC 5 3 2 2 12 EDDY POINT NS X X X 2 2
COLUMN DEFINITION PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 2PM TUE
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM 2PM TUE TO 2AM WED
C FROM 2AM WED TO 2PM WED
D FROM 2PM WED TO 2PM THU
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 2PM THU
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
FORECASTER BLAKE/PASCH
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