Tropical Depression TWELVE

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TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWELVE PROBABILITIES NUMBER   3
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
4 AM CDT THU SEP 04 2003
 
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
 
AT 4 AM CDT...0900Z...THE DEPRESSION CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 27.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE  87.4 WEST
 
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE DEPRESSION PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  1AM CDT SUN SEP  7 2003
 
LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E
 
28.5N  85.3W      45  X  X  X 45   CAPE HATTERAS NC   X  X  X  4  4
28.8N  84.1W      24  2  X  1 27   NORFOLK VA         X  X  X  4  4
29.2N  82.5W       5  8  3  2 18   OCEAN CITY MD      X  X  X  2  2
MUCF 221N 805W     X  X  1  2  3   KEY WEST FL        X  2  4  4 10
MUSN 216N 826W     X  X  1  2  3   MARCO ISLAND FL    X  6  4  3 13
MUHA 230N 824W     X  1  2  3  6   FT MYERS FL        1  7  4  3 15
MUAN 219N 850W     X  X  2  2  4   VENICE FL          4  8  3  2 17
MYAK 241N 776W     X  X  1  2  3   TAMPA FL           7  7  3  1 18
MYNN 251N 775W     X  X  1  3  4   CEDAR KEY FL      10  6  2  2 20
MYGF 266N 787W     X  X  3  5  8   ST MARKS FL       12  5  2  1 20
MARATHON FL        X  2  4  3  9   APALACHICOLA FL   24  1  1  X 26
MIAMI FL           X  2  4  4 10   PANAMA CITY FL    22  2  X  X 24
W PALM BEACH FL    X  2  5  4 11   PENSACOLA FL      12  4  1  X 17
FT PIERCE FL       X  3  6  4 13   MOBILE AL          4  5  2  X 11
COCOA BEACH FL     X  5  5  4 14   GULFPORT MS        3  4  1  1  9
DAYTONA BEACH FL   X  6  5  4 15   BURAS LA           4  3  1  1  9
JACKSONVILLE FL    X  6  6  3 15   NEW ORLEANS LA     1  2  1  X  4
SAVANNAH GA        X  2  6  5 13   GULF 29N 85W      34  X  X  X 34
CHARLESTON SC      X  X  4  7 11   GULF 29N 87W      49  X  X  X 49
MYRTLE BEACH SC    X  X  2  7  9   GULF 28N 89W      69  X  X  X 69
WILMINGTON NC      X  X  1  6  7   GULF 28N 91W       X  1  1  X  2
MOREHEAD CITY NC   X  X  X  6  6
 
COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  1AM FRI
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  1AM FRI TO  1PM FRI
C FROM  1PM FRI TO  1AM SAT
D FROM  1AM SAT TO  1AM SUN
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  1AM SUN
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
 
FORECASTER PASCH
 
 
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