Tropical Depression TWELVE

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TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWELVE PROBABILITIES NUMBER   1
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
4 PM CDT WED SEP 03 2003
 
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
 
AT 4 PM CDT...2100Z...THE DEPRESSION CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 27.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE  87.5 WEST
 
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE DEPRESSION PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  1PM CDT SAT SEP  6 2003
 
LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E
 
29.2N  84.5W      37  1  X  X 38   WILMINGTON NC      X  X  1  7  8
29.5N  82.5W      11  9  2  X 22   MOREHEAD CITY NC   X  X  X  6  6
30.0N  80.5W       X  9  5  2 16   CAPE HATTERAS NC   X  X  X  5  5
MUCM 214N 779W     X  X  X  2  2   NORFOLK VA         X  X  X  4  4
MUCF 221N 805W     X  X  1  1  2   OCEAN CITY MD      X  X  X  2  2
MUHA 230N 824W     X  X  1  1  2   KEY WEST FL        X  2  3  2  7
MYMM 224N 730W     X  X  X  2  2   MARCO ISLAND FL    X  7  4  1 12
MYSM 241N 745W     X  X  X  4  4   FT MYERS FL        1 10  2  1 14
MYEG 235N 758W     X  X  1  3  4   VENICE FL          4 10  2  1 17
MYAK 241N 776W     X  X  2  4  6   TAMPA FL           8 11  1  1 21
MYNN 251N 775W     X  X  4  4  8   CEDAR KEY FL      18  6  1  X 25
MYGF 266N 787W     X  2  6  4 12   ST MARKS FL       26  2  1  X 29
MARATHON FL        X  2  4  2  8   APALACHICOLA FL   39  X  X  X 39
MIAMI FL           X  4  5  2 11   PANAMA CITY FL    40  X  X  X 40
W PALM BEACH FL    X  6  5  2 13   PENSACOLA FL      28  X  X  X 28
FT PIERCE FL       X  8  5  2 15   MOBILE AL          9  2  X  1 12
COCOA BEACH FL     1 10  4  1 16   GULFPORT MS        3  2  1  X  6
DAYTONA BEACH FL   2 11  3  2 18   BURAS LA           3  1  X  X  4
JACKSONVILLE FL    2 11  3  2 18   GULF 29N 85W      44  X  X  X 44
SAVANNAH GA        X  5  6  3 14   GULF 29N 87W      65  X  X  X 65
CHARLESTON SC      X  1  5  6 12   GULF 28N 89W      29  X  X  X 29
MYRTLE BEACH SC    X  X  3  7 10
 
COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  1PM THU
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  1PM THU TO  1AM FRI
C FROM  1AM FRI TO  1PM FRI
D FROM  1PM FRI TO  1PM SAT
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  1PM SAT
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
 
FORECASTER AVILA
 
 
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