Tropical Storm ERIKA

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TROPICAL STORM ERIKA PROBABILITIES NUMBER   5
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
4 PM CDT FRI AUG 15 2003
 
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
 
AT 4 PM CDT...2100Z...THE CENTER OF ERIKA WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 26.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE  93.5 WEST
 
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  1PM CDT MON AUG 18 2003
 
LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E
 
26.0N 100.0W      40  1  X  X 41   BROWNSVILLE TX    65  X  X  X 65
26.0N 103.0W      11 19  X  X 30   GULF 28N 93W       2  X  X  X  2
26.0N 106.0W       X 15  8  X 23   GULF 28N 95W      12  X  X  X 12
MMSO 238N 982W     4  X  1  X  5   GULF 27N 96W      70  X  X  X 70
PORT O CONNOR TX   9  1  X  X 10   GULF 25N 96W      35  1  X  X 36
CORPUSCHRISTI TX  30  X  X  X 30
 
COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  1PM SAT
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  1PM SAT TO  1AM SUN
C FROM  1AM SUN TO  1PM SUN
D FROM  1PM SUN TO  1PM MON
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  1PM MON
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
 
FORECASTER AVILA
 
 
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