Tropical Storm ERIKA

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TROPICAL STORM ERIKA PROBABILITIES NUMBER   3
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
4 AM CDT FRI AUG 15 2003
 
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
 
AT 4 AM CDT...0900Z...THE CENTER OF ERIKA WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 26.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE  89.4 WEST
 
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  1AM CDT MON AUG 18 2003
 
LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E
 
26.0N  95.5W      40  X  X  X 40   PORT O CONNOR TX   8 10  1  1 20
25.8N  98.4W      12 18  1  X 31   CORPUSCHRISTI TX   8 15  1  1 25
25.4N  99.8W       3 20  2  1 26   BROWNSVILLE TX    23 10  1  X 34
MMSO 238N 982W     3 11  2  1 17   GULF 28N 89W      21  X  X  X 21
MMTM 222N 979W     X  1  3  3  7   GULF 28N 91W      28  X  X  X 28
MMTX 210N 974W     X  X  X  3  3   GULF 28N 93W      29  X  X  X 29
PORT ARTHUR TX     1  X  1  2  4   GULF 28N 95W      22  3  X  X 25
GALVESTON TX       3  4  X  2  9   GULF 27N 96W      32  3  X  X 35
FREEPORT TX        5  6  1  1 13   GULF 25N 96W      26  3  X  X 29
 
COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  1AM SAT
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  1AM SAT TO  1PM SAT
C FROM  1PM SAT TO  1AM SUN
D FROM  1AM SUN TO  1AM MON
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  1AM MON
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
 
FORECASTER LAWRENCE
 
 
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