Hurricane PATRICIA
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TROPICAL STORM PATRICIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 13
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP162003
1500Z THU OCT 23 2003
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.3N 111.1W AT 23/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT 8 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1000 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT.
34 KT....... 75NE 75SE 0SW 0NW.
12 FT SEAS..100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.3N 111.1W AT 23/1500Z
AT 23/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.2N 110.7W
FORECAST VALID 24/0000Z 13.8N 112.4W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 75NE 75SE 0SW 0NW.
FORECAST VALID 24/1200Z 14.9N 113.5W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 75NE 75SE 0SW 0NW.
FORECAST VALID 25/0000Z 15.7N 114.3W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 75NE 75SE 0SW 0NW.
FORECAST VALID 25/1200Z 16.5N 115.5W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 75NE 75SE 0SW 0NW.
FORECAST VALID 26/1200Z 18.0N 117.5W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 75NE 75SE 0SW 0NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 27/1200Z 19.0N 120.0W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 28/1200Z 19.0N 122.0W...DISSIPATING
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.3N 111.1W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 23/2100Z
FORECASTER FRANKLIN
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