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Tropical Storm OLAF


ZCZC MIATCMEP5 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
TROPICAL STORM OLAF FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   8
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP152003
0900Z SUN OCT 05 2003
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.7N 103.8W AT 05/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  40 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 310 DEGREES AT   8 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  994 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  55 KT WITH GUSTS TO  65 KT.
50 KT....... 20NE  30SE  30SW  20NW.
34 KT....... 50NE  60SE  60SW  50NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 60NE  60SE  60SW  60NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.7N 103.8W AT 05/0900Z
AT 05/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.4N 103.5W
 
FORECAST VALID 05/1800Z 17.5N 104.6W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 20NE  30SE  30SW  20NW.
34 KT... 50NE  60SE  60SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 06/0600Z 18.2N 105.2W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE  20SW  20NW.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT... 60NE  60SE  60SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 06/1800Z 18.9N 105.8W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE  20SW  20NW.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT... 60NE  60SE  60SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 07/0600Z 19.8N 106.4W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  40SW  40NW.
34 KT... 80NE  80SE  80SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 08/0600Z 21.0N 107.1W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  40SW  40NW.
34 KT... 80NE  80SE  80SW  80NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 09/0600Z 22.0N 108.0W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 10/0600Z 23.0N 109.0W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.7N 103.8W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 05/1500Z
 
FORECASTER JARVINEN
 
 
NNNN


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Page last modified: Monday, 07-Feb-2005 16:50:27 UTC