Hurricane NORA
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HURRICANE NORA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 12
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP142003
1500Z SAT OCT 04 2003
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.2N 111.8W AT 04/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT 6 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 970 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 90 KT WITH GUSTS TO 110 KT.
64 KT....... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW.
50 KT....... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW.
34 KT.......100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW.
12 FT SEAS..100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.2N 111.8W AT 04/1500Z
AT 04/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.9N 111.5W
FORECAST VALID 05/0000Z 18.0N 112.4W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW.
50 KT... 70NE 70SE 70SW 70NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE 120SW 120NW.
FORECAST VALID 05/1200Z 19.3N 113.3W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW.
50 KT... 70NE 70SE 70SW 70NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE 120SW 120NW.
FORECAST VALID 06/0000Z 20.2N 113.9W
MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW.
50 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW.
FORECAST VALID 06/1200Z 20.8N 114.1W
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW.
34 KT... 90NE 90SE 90SW 90NW.
FORECAST VALID 07/1200Z 21.5N 114.2W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
50 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW.
34 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 08/1200Z 21.9N 114.2W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 09/1200Z 22.4N 114.1W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.2N 111.8W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 04/2100Z
FORECASTER KNABB/STEWART
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