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Hurricane MARTY


ZCZC MIATCMEP3 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
HURRICANE MARTY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  15
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP132003
1500Z MON SEP 22 2003
 
AT 8 AM PDT...1500Z...THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS EXTENDED THE
HURRICANE WARNING NORTHWARD ALONG THE EAST COAST OF THE BAJA
CALIFORNIA PENINSULA TO BAHIA SAN JUAN BAUTISTA AND ALSO NORTHWARD
ALONG THE COAST MAINLAND MEXICO TO BAHIA KINO.
 
A HURRICANE WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA
FROM BAHIA MAGDALENA SOUTHWARD ON THE WEST COAST AND FROM BAHIA SAN
JUAN BAUTISTA SOUTHWARD ON THE EAST COAST...AND FOR THE COAST OF
MAINLAND MEXICO FROM BAHIA KINO TO TOPOLOBAMPO.  PREPARATIONS TO
PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.
 
A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA
FROM PUNTA ABREOJOS TO BAHIA MAGDALENA ON THE WEST COAST...AND FOR
THE COAST OF MAINLAND MEXICO FROM SOUTH OF TOPOLOBAMPO TO ALTATA.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 24.4N 110.0W AT 22/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 355 DEGREES AT  13 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  976 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  75 KT WITH GUSTS TO  90 KT.
64 KT....... 20NE  20SE  20SW  20NW.
50 KT....... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT.......100NE 125SE  50SW  50NW.
12 FT SEAS..125NE 200SE 150SW 100NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 24.4N 110.0W AT 22/1500Z
AT 22/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 23.7N 109.9W
 
FORECAST VALID 23/0000Z 25.9N 110.6W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE  20SW  20NW.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT...100NE 125SE  50SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 23/1200Z 28.2N 111.4W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE  20SW  20NW.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT... 50NE  75SE  50SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 24/0000Z 29.9N 112.1W...INLAND
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 25NE  25SE  50SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 24/1200Z 30.5N 112.3W...INLAND
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 25/1200Z 31.0N 112.5W...INLAND DISSIPATING
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 26/1200Z...DISSIPATED
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 24.4N 110.0W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 22/2100Z
 
FORECASTER LAWRENCE
 
 
NNNN


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Page last modified: Monday, 07-Feb-2005 16:50:24 UTC