Hurricane IGNACIO

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HURRICANE IGNACIO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  12
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP092003
2100Z SUN AUG 24 2003
 
A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA
PENINSULA FROM SOUTH OF SAN EVARISTO ON THE EAST COAST AND SOUTH OF
BAHIA MAGDALENA ON THE WEST COAST.  A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN
EFFECT FROM LORETO TO SAN EVARISTO AND FROM PUERTO SAN ANDRESITO TO
BAHIA MAGDALENA.
 
AT 2 PM PDT...2100 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A
TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR THE COAST OF MAINLAND MEXICO FROM ALTATA
TO TOPOLOBAMPO AND A TROPICAL STORM WATCH NORTH OF TOPOLOBAMPO TO
HUATABAMPITO.
 
PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY IN THE WARNING AREA SHOULD
BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.7N 109.1W AT 24/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 350 DEGREES AT   4 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  970 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  90 KT WITH GUSTS TO 110 KT.
64 KT....... 20NE  20SE  20SW  20NW.
50 KT....... 40NE  40SE  40SW  40NW.
34 KT....... 75NE  75SE  75SW  75NW.
12 FT SEAS..100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.7N 109.1W AT 24/2100Z
AT 24/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 23.5N 109.0W
 
FORECAST VALID 25/0600Z 24.2N 109.6W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE  20SW  20NW.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  40SW  40NW.
34 KT... 75NE  75SE  75SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 25/1800Z 24.6N 110.0W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE  10SW  20NW.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  20SW  40NW.
34 KT... 75NE  75SE  50SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 26/0600Z 25.0N 110.5W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE  10SW  20NW.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  20SW  40NW.
34 KT... 75NE  75SE  50SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 26/1800Z 25.7N 111.0W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  20SW  40NW.
34 KT... 75NE  75SE  50SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 27/1800Z 27.5N 112.0W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  20SW  40NW.
34 KT... 75NE  75SE  50SW  75NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 28/1800Z 28.5N 112.5W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 29/1800Z 29.5N 113.0W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 23.7N 109.1W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 25/0300Z
 
FORECASTER PASCH/ROBERTS
 
 
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