Tropical Depression NINE-E

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TROPICAL DEPRESSION NINE-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   5
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP092003
0900Z SAT AUG 23 2003
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR SOUTHERN BAJA
CALIFORNIA MEXICO FROM SANTA FE TO LA PAZ.
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.2N 107.7W AT 23/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  40 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 320 DEGREES AT   4 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.2N 107.7W AT 23/0900Z
AT 23/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 21.0N 107.5W
 
FORECAST VALID 23/1800Z 21.8N 108.2W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  60SE  60SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 24/0600Z 22.6N 108.8W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  60SE  60SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 24/1800Z 23.4N 109.6W...INLAND
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  60SE  60SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 25/0600Z 24.1N 110.4W...INLAND
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  60SE  60SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 26/0600Z 25.4N 111.8W...INLAND
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  60SE  60SW  60NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 27/0600Z 27.1N 113.2W...INLAND
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 28/0600Z 29.0N 114.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  25 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 21.2N 107.7W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 23/1500Z
 
FORECASTER JARVINEN
 
 
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