Tropical Storm FELICIA
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TROPICAL STORM FELICIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 4
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP062003
2100Z FRI JUL 18 2003
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.5N 112.6W AT 18/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 50 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 275 DEGREES AT 16 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1002 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT.
34 KT....... 75NE 25SE 25SW 75NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.5N 112.6W AT 18/2100Z
AT 18/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.4N 111.8W
FORECAST VALID 19/0600Z 16.0N 115.0W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 75NE 25SE 25SW 75NW.
FORECAST VALID 19/1800Z 16.5N 118.0W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 75NE 25SE 25SW 75NW.
FORECAST VALID 20/0600Z 17.0N 121.5W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 75NE 25SE 25SW 75NW.
FORECAST VALID 20/1800Z 17.5N 124.0W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 75NE 25SE 25SW 75NW.
FORECAST VALID 21/1800Z 18.5N 129.0W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 22/1800Z 19.5N 134.0W
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 23/1800Z 22.0N 140.0W
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.5N 112.6W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 19/0300Z
FORECASTER AVILA
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