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Hurricane JUAN


ZCZC MIATCMAT5 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
HURRICANE JUAN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   5
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL152003
1500Z FRI SEP 26 2003
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR BERMUDA.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 32.2N  62.0W AT 26/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 350 DEGREES AT   7 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  987 MB
EYE DIAMETER  25 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  65 KT WITH GUSTS TO  80 KT.
64 KT....... 15NE  15SE  15SW  15NW.
50 KT....... 25NE  25SE  25SW  25NW.
34 KT.......175NE 100SE  50SW 120NW.
12 FT SEAS..175NE 175SE 100SW 175NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 32.2N  62.0W AT 26/1500Z
AT 26/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 31.8N  62.0W
 
FORECAST VALID 27/0000Z 33.7N  62.6W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE  20SW  20NW.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT...175NE 100SE  75SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 27/1200Z 35.5N  63.0W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE  20SW  20NW.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  40SW  40NW.
34 KT...175NE 125SE  75SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 28/0000Z 37.5N  63.5W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE  20SW  20NW.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  40SW  40NW.
34 KT...175NE 150SE  75SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 28/1200Z 40.0N  64.0W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  50SW  50NW.
34 KT...175NE 150SE  75SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 29/1200Z 50.0N  61.5W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...175NE 150SE  75SW 120NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 275 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 375 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 30/1200Z...ABSORBED BY A LARGE EXTRATROPICAL LOW

 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 32.2N  62.0W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 26/2100Z
 
FORECASTER AVILA
 
 
NNNN


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Page last modified: Monday, 07-Feb-2005 16:50:25 UTC