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Hurricane ISABEL


ZCZC MIATCMAT3 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM CCA
HURRICANE ISABEL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  40...CORRECTED
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL132003
0300Z TUE SEP 16 2003

CORRECTED FOR 64-KT WIND RADII IN NORTHWEST QUADRANT

INTERESTS FROM THE CAROLINAS NORTHWARD TO SOUTHERN NEW
ENGLAND...ALONG THE COAST AND INLAND...SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR THE
PROGRESS OF ISABEL.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 26.1N  70.2W AT 16/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 320 DEGREES AT   6 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  949 MB
EYE DIAMETER  45 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 105 KT WITH GUSTS TO 130 KT.
64 KT....... 90NE  90SE  70SW  70NW.
50 KT.......125NE 125SE  90SW  90NW.
34 KT.......175NE 150SE 150SW 150NW.
12 FT SEAS..600NE 300SE 200SW 600NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 26.1N  70.2W AT 16/0300Z
AT 16/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 25.8N  70.0W
 
FORECAST VALID 16/1200Z 26.9N  70.8W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
64 KT... 90NE  90SE  70SW  70NW.
50 KT...125NE 125SE  90SW  90NW.
34 KT...175NE 150SE 150SW 150NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 17/0000Z 28.4N  71.7W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 90NE  90SE  70SW  70NW.
50 KT...125NE 125SE  90SW  90NW.
34 KT...175NE 150SE 150SW 150NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 17/1200Z 29.8N  72.5W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 90NE  90SE  70SW  70NW.
50 KT...150NE 150SE 100SW 150NW.
34 KT...200NE 200SE 150SW 200NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 18/0000Z 31.5N  73.7W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
50 KT...150NE 150SE 100SW 150NW.
34 KT...200NE 200SE 150SW 200NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 19/0000Z 37.2N  77.2W...INLAND
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT...150NE 100SE  50SW  50NW.
34 KT...300NE 200SE 100SW 100NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 275 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 375 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 20/0000Z 44.5N  79.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 21/0000Z 54.0N  78.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 26.1N  70.2W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 16/0900Z
 
FORECASTER LAWRENCE
 
 
NNNN


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Page last modified: Monday, 07-Feb-2005 16:50:23 UTC