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Hurricane ISABEL


ZCZC MIATCMAT3 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
HURRICANE ISABEL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  19
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL132003
2100Z WED SEP 10 2003
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.2N  51.9W AT 10/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 275 DEGREES AT  10 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  942 MB
EYE DIAMETER  20 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 120 KT WITH GUSTS TO 145 KT.
64 KT....... 50NE  40SE  40SW  50NW.
50 KT.......100NE  60SE  60SW 100NW.
34 KT.......160NE 120SE 120SW 160NW.
12 FT SEAS..275NE 225SE 225SW 275NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.2N  51.9W AT 10/2100Z
AT 10/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 21.2N  51.4W
 
FORECAST VALID 11/0600Z 21.3N  53.5W
MAX WIND 125 KT...GUSTS 155 KT.
64 KT... 50NE  40SE  40SW  50NW.
50 KT...100NE  60SE  60SW 100NW.
34 KT...160NE 120SE 120SW 160NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 11/1800Z 21.4N  55.2W
MAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 145 KT.
64 KT... 50NE  40SE  40SW  50NW.
50 KT...100NE  60SE  60SW 100NW.
34 KT...160NE 120SE 120SW 160NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 12/0600Z 21.5N  56.9W
MAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 145 KT.
64 KT... 50NE  40SE  40SW  50NW.
50 KT...100NE  60SE  60SW 100NW.
34 KT...160NE 120SE 120SW 160NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 12/1800Z 21.7N  58.6W
MAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 145 KT.
50 KT...100NE  60SE  60SW 100NW.
34 KT...160NE 120SE 120SW 160NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 13/1800Z 22.0N  62.5W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
50 KT...100NE  60SE  60SW 100NW.
34 KT...160NE 120SE 120SW 160NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 275 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 375 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 14/1800Z 23.0N  66.0W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 15/1800Z 23.5N  69.5W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 21.2N  51.9W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 11/0300Z
 
FORECASTER STEWART
 
 
NNNN


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Page last modified: Monday, 07-Feb-2005 16:50:22 UTC