Tropical Depression TWELVE

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TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWELVE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   1
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL122003
2100Z WED SEP 03 2003
 
AT 4 PM CDT...2100Z...A TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED
FOR THE GULF COAST OF FLORIDA FROM ENGLEWOOD TO INDIAN PASS.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 27.5N  87.5W AT 03/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT NEARLY STATIONARY
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1013 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  25 KT WITH GUSTS TO  35 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 27.5N  87.5W AT 03/2100Z
AT 03/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 27.5N  87.5W
 
FORECAST VALID 04/0600Z 28.5N  87.0W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 04/1800Z 29.2N  84.5W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 25NE  75SE  25SW  25NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 05/0600Z 29.5N  82.5W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 25NE  75SE  25SW  25NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 05/1800Z 30.0N  80.5W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 25NE  75SE  25SW  25NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 06/1800Z 31.5N  77.5W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 25NE  75SE  25SW  25NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 275 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 375 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 07/1800Z 34.0N  73.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 08/1800Z 36.0N  69.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 27.5N  87.5W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 04/0300Z
 
FORECASTER AVILA
 
 
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