Hurricane FABIAN

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HURRICANE FABIAN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  45
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL102003
2100Z SUN SEP 07 2003

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 43.4N  49.3W AT 07/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR  45 DEGREES AT  27 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  972 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  75 KT WITH GUSTS TO  90 KT.
64 KT....... 90NE 100SE  75SW  60NW.
50 KT.......125NE 150SE 125SW 100NW.
34 KT.......200NE 275SE 200SW 150NW.
12 FT SEAS..400NE 400SE 475SW 200NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 43.4N  49.3W AT 07/2100Z
AT 07/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 42.3N  50.8W
 
FORECAST VALID 08/0600Z 46.5N  44.5W...BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 45NE 100SE  45SW  30NW.
50 KT... 60NE 175SE  60SW  50NW.
34 KT...225NE 300SE 250SW 150NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 08/1800Z 51.0N  38.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT...  0NE 100SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT...  0NE 200SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT...225NE 325SE 300SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 09/0600Z 56.0N  32.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 90NE  60SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT...150NE 120SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT...250NE 350SE 350SW 200NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 09/1800Z 60.0N  33.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT...200NE 200SE 200SW 200NW.
34 KT...300NE 300SE 300SW 300NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 10/1800Z 60.5N  38.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
50 KT...  0NE   0SE 150SW 200NW.
34 KT...200NE 200SE 175SW 300NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 275 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 375 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 11/1800Z 57.0N  37.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 12/1800Z 55.0N  33.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 43.4N  49.3W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 08/0300Z
 
FORECASTER BLAKE/PASCH
 
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