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Tropical Depression SIX


ZCZC MIATCMAT1 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIX FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   6
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL062003
0300Z MON JUL 21 2003
 
AT 11 PM AST...0300 UTC...A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR
DOMINICA.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR ST. LUCIA.
 
TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE ALSO POSSIBLE BY LATE MONDAY FOR
MARTINIQUE AND GUADELOUPE AND ADJACENT FRENCH ISLANDS...AND FOR
ANTIGUA AND MONTSERRAT AND ST KITTS AND NEVIS.
 
INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE LESSER ANTILLES...VIRGIN ISLANDS...AND
PUERTO RICO SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM.
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.7N  54.6W AT 21/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  40 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 275 DEGREES AT  20 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1008 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.7N  54.6W AT 21/0300Z
AT 21/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.5N  53.6W
 
FORECAST VALID 21/1200Z 14.1N  57.6W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 75NE   0SE   0SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 22/0000Z 15.0N  61.5W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 75NE   0SE   0SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 22/1200Z 16.1N  65.4W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 75NE  20SE  20SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 23/0000Z 17.2N  69.0W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 75NE  30SE  30SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 24/0000Z 19.5N  76.0W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 80NE  40SE  40SW  80NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 275 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 375 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 25/0000Z 22.0N  81.0W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 26/0000Z 24.5N  85.5W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.7N  54.6W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 21/0900Z
 
FORECASTER BEVEN
 
 
NNNN


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Page last modified: Monday, 07-Feb-2005 16:50:19 UTC