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Tropical Storm HILDA


ZCZC MIATCDEP3 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
TROPICAL DEPRESSION HILDA DISCUSSION NUMBER  18
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
8 AM PDT WED AUG 13 2003
 
COMBINED IR CHANNEL IMAGERY DEPICTS HILDA AS A LARGE SWIRL OF LOW
CLOUDS WITH A SMALL AREA OF CONVECTION WELL REMOVED FROM THE
CENTER.  SINCE THE CONVECTION IS SO DISTANT FROM THE CENTER...NO
DVORAK T-NUMBERS CAN BE ASSIGNED. THE INITIAL INTENSITY IS HELD AT
25 KT WHICH IS PROBABLY OCCURRING IN A FEW SHOWERS.
 
THE UPPER-LEVEL WINDS ARE FORECAST TO REMAIN QUITE HOSTILE OVER 
THE SYSTEM FOR THE NEXT COUPLE DAYS.  THEREFORE...DESPITE THE
OCCASIONAL BURST OF CONVECTION....HILDA IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE
WEAKENING TO A REMNANT LOW.  

THE INITIAL MOTION IS 270/6.  THE MOTION HAS SLOWED OVER THE PAST
SEVERAL HOURS.  THE REMNANT LOW WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE WESTWARD
SOUTH OF AN EAST TO WEST ORIENTED SURFACE RIDGE.

THIS WILL BE THE LAST ADVISORY ON HILDA.  FURTHER INFORMATION ON 
THE REMANT LOW...CAN BE OBTAINED IN MARINE FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE
TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH...UNDER AWIPS HEADER 
NFDHSFEPI AND WMO HEADER FZPN02 KWBC.

FORECASTER AVILA/BROWN
 
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
 
INITIAL      13/1500Z 18.4N 130.9W    25 KT
 12HR VT     14/0000Z 18.5N 132.0W    20 KT...REMNANT LOW
 24HR VT     14/1200Z 18.5N 133.5W    20 KT...REMNANT LOW
 36HR VT     15/0000Z 18.5N 135.5W    20 KT...REMNANT LOW
  
 
NNNN


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Page last modified: Monday, 07-Feb-2005 16:49:57 UTC