Tropical Storm ENRIQUE

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TROPICAL DEPRESSION ENRIQUE DISCUSSION NUMBER  14
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
2 PM PDT SUN JUL 13 2003
 
THE INITIAL MOTION ESTIMATE IS 285/14.  THE GLOBAL MODEL GUIDANCE IS
IN CLOSE AGREEMENT ABOUT A WEST TO WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD TRACK OVER THE
NEXT FEW DAYS AS A DEEP LAYER MEAN RIDGE REMAINS CENTERED NEAR 30N
140W.  THE OFFICIAL FORECAST TRACK FOLLOWS THIS GUIDANCE.
 
THERE IS A WELL DEFINED LOW LEVEL CLOUD SWIRL ON VISIBLE IMAGERY
...BUT THE NEAREST SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION IS MORE THAN 150
MILES NORTHEAST OF THE CENTER.  COLD SSTS SHOULD CONTINUE THE
DISSIPATION PROCESS AND THE REMNANT LOW IS NOT EXPECTED TO LAST
MORE THAN 2 OR 3 DAYS.

THIS IS THE LAST ADVISORY PACKAGE UNLESS REGENERATION OCCURS.
 
FORECASTER LAWRENCE
 
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
 
INITIAL      13/2100Z 20.1N 122.0W    25 KT...DISSIPATING
 12HR VT     14/0600Z 20.3N 124.2W    20 KT...REMNANT LOW
 24HR VT     14/1800Z 20.0N 127.0W    20 KT...REMNANT LOW
 36HR VT     15/0600Z 19.6N 129.3W    20 KT...REMNANT LOW
 48HR VT     15/1800Z 19.3N 131.5W    20 KT...REMNANT LOW
 72HR VT     16/1800Z 19.0N 135.0W    20 KT...REMNANT LOW
 96HR VT     17/1800Z...DISSIPATED
 
 
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