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Tropical Storm ENRIQUE


ZCZC MIATCDEP5 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
TROPICAL DEPRESSION ENRIQUE DISCUSSION NUMBER  13
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
8 AM PDT SUN JUL 13 2003
 
FIRST VISIBLE IMAGES SHOW A LOW LEVEL CENTER DISPLACED ABOUT 150
MILES SOUTHWEST OF THE DIMINISHING DEEP CONVECTION.  ENRIQUE IS
DOWNGRADED TO A DEPRESSION ON THIS BASIS.  COLD SSTS ARE EXPECTED
TO CONTINUE THE DISSIPATION PROCESS AND THE OFFICIAL FORECAST IS
FOR A REMNANT LOW IN 24 HOURS AND TOTAL DISSIPATION AFTER 3
DAYS...IF NOT SOONER.
 
THE INITIAL MOTION ESTIMATE IS 285/14.  THE GUIDANCE IS IN GOOD
AGREEMENT ABOUT A WESTWARD TO JUST SOUTH OF WESTWARD TRACK AS A
STRONG SUB-TROPICAL RIDGE DOMINATES THE STEERING.   THE OFFICIAL
TRACK FORECAST IS IN THE MIDDLE OF THIS GUIDANCE.
 
FORECASTER LAWRENCE
 
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
 
INITIAL      13/1500Z 19.9N 120.4W    30 KT
 12HR VT     14/0000Z 20.2N 122.5W    25 KT...DISSIPATING
 24HR VT     14/1200Z 20.3N 125.5W    20 KT...DISSIPATING
 36HR VT     15/0000Z 20.0N 128.0W    20 KT...DISSIPATING
 48HR VT     15/1200Z 19.5N 130.0W    20 KT...DISSIPATING
 72HR VT     16/1200Z 19.0N 134.0W    20 KT...DISSIPATING
 96HR VT     17/1200Z...DISSIPATED 
 
NNNN


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Page last modified: Monday, 07-Feb-2005 16:49:56 UTC