Skip Navigation Links weather.gov   
NOAA logo - Click to go to the NOAA homepage National Weather Service   NWS logo - Click to go to the NWS homepage
National Hurricane Center
Local forecast by
"City, St" or "ZIP"

 
Alternate Formats
   Text     |   Mobile
   Email   |   RSS XML/RSS logo
   About Alternates
Cyclone Forecasts
   Latest Advisory
   Past Advisories
   Audio/Podcasts
   About Advisories
Marine Forecasts
   Atlantic & E Pacific
   Gridded Marine
   About Marine
Tools & Data
   Satellite | Radar
   Analysis Tools
   Aircraft Recon
   GIS Datasets
   Data Archive
Development
   Experimental
   Research
   Forecast Accuracy
Outreach & Education
   Prepare
   Storm Surge
   About Cyclones
   Cyclone Names
   Wind Scale
   Most Extreme
   Forecast Models
   Breakpoints
   Resources
   Glossary | Acronyms
   Frequent Questions
Our Organization
   About NHC
   Mission & Vision
   Staff | Q&A
   Visitors | Virtual Tour
   Library Branch
   NCEP | Newsletter
Contact Us
   Comments
Follow the National Hurricane Center on Facebook Follow the National Hurricane Center on Twitter
Subscribe the National Hurricane Center on YouTube Read the National Hurricane Center Inside the Eye blog on WordPress
FirstGov.gov is the U.S. Government's official Web portal to all Federal, state and local government Web resources and services.
 
 

Tropical Storm ODETTE


ZCZC MIATCDAT5 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM CCA
TROPICAL STORM ODETTE DISCUSSION NUMBER  10...CORRECTED
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
4 PM EST SAT DEC 06 2003

CORRECTED FOR INLAND STATUS IN FORECAST TABLE
 
THE LAST FIX FROM THE RECON WAS AROUND 17Z AND INDICATED THAT THE
CYCLONE WAS A LITTLE BETTER ORGANIZED BUT WINDS AND PRESSURE REMAIN
AT 55 KNOTS AND 994 MB...RESPECTIVELY. THIS INTENSITY IS ALSO
SUPPORTED BY DVORAK T-NUMBERS.  SATELLITE IMAGERY CONTINUES TO SHOW
DEEP CONVECTION NEAR THE CENTER WITH AN IMPRESSIVE CURVED BAND TO
THE EAST. THE NORTHERN CIRCULATION OF THE TROPICAL CYCLONE IS
ALREADY AFFECTING THE BARAHONA PENINSULA AND THE ISLA BEATA WITH
VERY HEAVY SQUALLS. THE WEATHER SHOULD WORSEN OVER HISPANIOLA
TONIGHT AS ODETTE MAKES LANDFALL. SINCE THE CYCLONE HAS SLOWED DOWN
THERE IS AN OPPORTUNITY FOR SOME STRENGTHENING BEFORE LANDFALL
AND ALTHOUGH IT IS NOT EXPECTED...IT WOULD NOT TAKE MUCH FOR ODETTE
TO REACH MINIMAL HURRICANE STRENGTH OR TO PRODUCE HURRICANE FORCE
WIND GUSTS.  THEREAFTER...THE TROPICAL CYCLONE SHOULD WEAKEN
SIGNIFICANTLY OVER THE HIGH TERRAIN OF HISPANIOLA AND PRODUCE
TORRENTIAL RAINS. ODETTE IS EXPECTED TO BECOME EXTRATROPICAL OVER
THE ATLANTIC.
 
ODETTE NOT ONLY HAS REFUSED TO INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED AS
ANTICIPATED BUT IN FACT...IT HAS SLOWED DOWN. THE CYCLONE IS NOW
MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST ABOUT 6 KNOTS. HOWEVER...IT SHOULD
SOON BEGIN TO ACCELERATE TOWARD THE NORTHEAST AS IT GETS CAUGHT IN
THE SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW AHEAD OF THE APPROACHING MID-LATITUDE
TROUGH.  THIS FORECAST IS NOT DIFFERENT FROM THE SOLUTION PROVIDED
BY GLOBAL MODEL CONSENSUS. THE GFDL WAS ABLE TO CAPTURE THE CURRENT
DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IN THE LATEST RUN.
 
FORECASTER AVILA
 
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
 
INITIAL      06/2100Z 17.5N  71.8W    55 KT
 12HR VT     07/0600Z 19.0N  71.5W    30 KT...INLAND
 24HR VT     07/1800Z 21.5N  68.5W    30 KT...OVER WATER
 36HR VT     08/0600Z 24.5N  64.5W    35 KT...BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
 48HR VT     08/1800Z 27.5N  59.5W    40 KT...EXTRATROPICAL
 
 
 
NNNN


Quick Navigation Links:
Tropical Cyclone Forecasts  -  Tropical Marine Forecasts  -  Data Archive
Outreach  -  Prepare  -  About Cyclones  -  About NHC  -  Contact Us

NOAA/ National Weather Service
National Centers for Environmental Prediction
National Hurricane Center
11691 SW 17th Street
Miami, Florida 33165 USA
nhcwebmaster@noaa.gov
Disclaimer
Credits
Information Quality
Glossary
Privacy Policy
Freedom of Information Act (FOIA)
About Us
Career Opportunities
Page last modified: Monday, 07-Feb-2005 16:50:02 UTC