Tropical Depression NINE

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TROPICAL DEPRESSION NINE DISCUSSION NUMBER   5
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
5 PM EDT FRI AUG 22 2003
 
DATA FROM AN AIR FORCE PLANE INDICATE THAT THE DEPRESSION NO LONGER
HAS A CLOSED CIRCULATION AND IT HAS DEGENERATED INTO A STRONG
TROPICAL WAVE. HOWEVER...THE SYSTEM HAS A VIGOROUS MIDDLE-LEVEL
CIRCULATION AND A WELL-DEFINED CLOUD PATTERN ON SATELLITE...
SUGGESTING THAT THE SYSTEM COULD REGENERATE AT ANY TIME. IN FACT
T-NUMBERS ARE 2.0 AND 2.5 ON THE DVORAK SCALE. DUE TO THE POTENTIAL
FOR REFORMATION...AIR FORCE PLANES WILL CONTINUE MONITORING THE
SYSTEM. IF REGENERATION OCCURS...WARNINGS WILL HAVE TO BE REISSUED.
 
THE WAVE IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD PRODUCING
VERY HEAVY RAINS OVER HISPANIOLA AND EASTERN CUBA DURING THE NEXT
DAY OR TWO. THESE RAINS WILL LIKELY SPREAD OVER THE SOUTHEASTERN
BAHAMAS THEREAFTER.
 
FORECASTER AVILA/MOLLEDA
 
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
 
INITIAL      22/2100Z 17.0N  70.0W    25 KT...DISSIPATING
 12HR VT     23/0600Z...DISSIPATED
 
 
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