Skip Navigation Links weather.gov   
NOAA logo - Click to go to the NOAA homepage National Weather Service   NWS logo - Click to go to the NWS homepage
National Hurricane Center
Local forecast by
"City, St" or "ZIP"

 
Alternate Formats
   Text     |   Mobile
   Email   |   RSS XML/RSS logo
   About Alternates
Cyclone Forecasts
   Latest Advisory
   Past Advisories
   Audio/Podcasts
   About Advisories
Marine Forecasts
   Atlantic & E Pacific
   Gridded Marine
   About Marine
Tools & Data
   Satellite | Radar
   Analysis Tools
   Aircraft Recon
   GIS Datasets
   Data Archive
Development
   Experimental
   Research
   Forecast Accuracy
Outreach & Education
   Prepare
   Storm Surge
   About Cyclones
   Cyclone Names
   Wind Scale
   Most Extreme
   Forecast Models
   Breakpoints
   Resources
   Glossary | Acronyms
   Frequent Questions
Our Organization
   About NHC
   Mission & Vision
   Staff | Q&A
   Visitors | Virtual Tour
   Library Branch
   NCEP | Newsletter
Contact Us
   Comments
Follow the National Hurricane Cent
er on Facebook Follow the National Hurricane Center on Twitter
FirstGov.gov is the U.S. Government's official Web portal to all Federal, state and local government Web resources and services.
 
 

Tropical Storm BILL


ZCZC MIATCDAT3 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
TROPICAL STORM BILL DISCUSSION NUMBER   4
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
5 AM EDT MON JUN 30 2003
 
THERE HAS NOT BEEN A SIGNIFICANT CHANGE IN THE CLOUD PATTERN
ASSOCIATED WITH BILL. THE LOW-LEVEL CENTER IS NOT CLEARLY OBSERVED
BUT IT APPEARS TO BE LOCATED TO THE SOUTH OR SOUTHWEST OF THE MAIN
AREA OF CONVECTION. INITIAL INTENSITY REMAINS AT 45 KNOTS. BECAUSE
THE SHEAR IS FORECAST TO RELAX AND THE OCEAN IS WARM...THERE IS
SMALL WINDOW OF OPPORTUNITY FOR BILL TO BECOME A MINIMAL HURRICANE
BEFORE LANDFALL. A NEW RECON WILL BE IN THE AREA AROUND 12 UTC.
 
BILL IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH OR 350 DEGREES AT 12 KNOTS. THE
CYCLONE IS MOVING AROUND THE WESTERN PERIPHERY OF A MID-LEVEL RIDGE
THAT EXTENDS FROM THE ATLANTIC WESTWARD ACROSS FLORIDA...AND NO
SIGNIFICANT CHANGE IN MOTION IS EXPECTED BEFORE LANDFALL LATER
TODAY. TRACK GUIDANCE UNANIMOUSLY BRINGS BILL NORTHWARD TO NEAR THE
COAST IN ABOUT 12 HOURS. THEREAFTER...BILL OR ITS REMNANTS SHOULD
TURN MORE TO THE NORTHEAST AS IT BECOMES EMBEDDED WITHIN THE
SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW AHEAD OF AN APPROACHING SHORT WAVE TROUGH. 
 
ONE SHOULD NOT FOCUS ON THE CENTER OR THE EXACT TRACK OF THE
TROPICAL CYCLONE SINCE STRONG WINDS AND HEAVY RAINS CAN BE
EXPERIENCED WELL AWAY FROM THE CENTER.
 
FORECASTER AVILA
 
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
 
INITIAL      30/0900Z 27.6N  91.6W    45 KT
 12HR VT     30/1800Z 29.2N  91.7W    60 KT
 24HR VT     01/0600Z 32.0N  91.0W    25 KT...INLAND
 36HR VT     01/1800Z 34.0N  89.0W    20 KT...REMNANT LOW
 48HR VT     02/0600Z 35.0N  86.0W    20 KT...REMNANT LOW
 72HR VT     03/0600Z 36.0N  80.0W    20 KT...REMNANT LOW
 96HR VT     04/0600Z 37.0N  72.0W    20 KT...REMNANT LOW

 
 
NNNN


Quick Navigation Links:
Tropical Cyclone Forecasts  -  Tropical Marine Forecasts  -  Data Archive
Outreach  -  Prepare  -  About Cyclones  -  About NHC  -  Contact Us

NOAA/ National Weather Service
National Centers for Environmental Prediction
National Hurricane Center
11691 SW 17th Street
Miami, Florida 33165-2149 USA
nhcwebmaster@noaa.gov
Disclaimer
Credits
Information Quality
Glossary
Privacy Policy
Freedom of Information Act (FOIA)
About Us
Career Opportunities
Page last modified: Monday, 07-Feb-2005 16:49:56 UTC