Analysis & Forecasts

Graphical Tropical Weather Outlooks

The Tropical Weather Outlook is updated at approximately 2 AM, 8 AM, 2 PM, and 8 PM EDT from June 1 to November 30, with special outlooks issued at any time as conditions warrant. The graphic displays all currently active tropical cyclones, and disturbances with tropical cyclone formation potential during the next 7 days, including a categorical forecast of the probability of tropical cyclone formation during the first 48 hours, and during the entire 7-day forecast period.

Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook (Static Images)

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Tropical Weather Outlook Text

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ZCZC HFOTWOCP ALL
TTAA00 PHFO DDHHMM

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS Central Pacific Hurricane Center Honolulu HI
Issued by NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 AM HST Tue Jun 30 2026

For the central North Pacific...between 140W and 180W:

1. Western East Pacific (EP95):
A broad area of low pressure located well southwest of the southern
tip of the Baja California Peninsula is producing showers and
thunderstorms that are showing signs of organization. Gradual
development of this system is expected during the next couple of
days, and a tropical depression is likely to form tonight or on
Wednesday while the system moves generally northwestward and then
northward.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...80 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...80 percent.



Forecaster Adams/Papin

ZCZC MIATWOEP ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
500 AM PDT Tue Jun 30 2026

For the eastern and central North Pacific east of 180 longitude:

1. Western East Pacific (EP95):
A broad area of low pressure located well southwest of the southern 
tip of the Baja California Peninsula is producing showers and 
thunderstorms that are showing signs of organization. Gradual 
development of this system is expected during the next couple of 
days, and a tropical depression is likely to form tonight or on 
Wednesday while the system moves generally northwestward and then 
northward.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...80 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...80 percent.



Forecaster Adams/Papin

Tropical Weather Discussion

ZCZC MIATWOAT ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Tue Jun 30 2026

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:

1. Offshore of the Southeastern U.S. Coast:
A weak area of low pressure located along a frontal boundary off the 
southeastern U.S. coast is associated with limited shower and 
thunderstorm activity. Environmental conditions are becoming less 
conducive for significant development of this system as it drifts 
southward and then westward later this week.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...10 percent.



Forecaster Papin

Tropical Weather Discussion