Analysis & Forecasts
Graphical Tropical Weather Outlooks
The Tropical Weather Outlook is updated at approximately 2 AM, 8 AM, 2 PM, and 8 PM EDT from June 1 to November 30, with special outlooks issued at any time as conditions warrant. The graphic displays all currently active tropical cyclones, and disturbances with tropical cyclone formation potential during the next 7 days, including a categorical forecast of the probability of tropical cyclone formation during the first 48 hours, and during the entire 7-day forecast period.
Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook (Static Images)
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Tropical Weather Outlook Text
ZCZC HFOTWOCP ALL
TTAA00 PHFO DDHHMM
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS Central Pacific Hurricane Center Honolulu HI
Issued by NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 PM HST Wed Nov 04 2026
For the central North Pacific...between 140W and 180W:
1. Well Southeast of the Hawaiian Islands (CP95):
Showers and thunderstorms associated with a trough of low
pressure located over the eastern portion of the Central Pacific
basin are gradually becoming better organized. Environmental
conditions appear conducive for additional development of this
system, and a tropical depression is likely to form over the
Central Pacific basin during the next few days while it moves
westward to west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...60 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...70 percent.
Forecaster Evans/Blake
ZCZC MIATWOEP ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
400 PM PST Wed Nov 4 2026
For the eastern and central North Pacific east of 180 longitude:
1. Well Southeast of the Hawaiian Islands (CP95):
Showers and thunderstorms associated with a trough of low
pressure located over the eastern portion of the Central Pacific
basin are gradually becoming better organized. Environmental
conditions appear conducive for additional development of this
system, and a tropical depression is likely to form over the
Central Pacific basin during the next few days while it moves
westward to west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...60 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...70 percent.
2. Eastern East Pacific:
A broad area of low pressure is producing a large area of
disorganized showers and thunderstorms offshore of the coast of
Central America. Gradual development of this system is possible
during the next several days, and a tropical depression could form
by this weekend while the low drifts northward. Regardless of
development, this system could bring areas of heavy rain to portions
of Central America through this weekend.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...60 percent.
Forecaster Evans/Blake
ZCZC MIATWOAT ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
700 PM EST Wed Nov 4 2026
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:
1. Western and Central Atlantic:
A non-tropical low pressure area is located a few hundred miles
south of Bermuda. Environmental conditions could support this
system gradually acquiring subtropical characteristics through this
weekend while it moves slowly eastward over the western and central
subtropical Atlantic. By early next week, environmental conditions
are forecast to become unfavorable for further development. For
more information on this system, including Gale Warnings, please see
High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...50 percent.
High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service can be
found under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1, WMO header FZNT01 KWBC, and
online at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.php
Forecaster Evans/Blake