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Hurricane MARIE


ZCZC MIATCPEP3 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

BULLETIN
HURRICANE MARIE ADVISORY NUMBER  12
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP132014
200 PM PDT SUN AUG 24 2014

...MARIE NOW A CATEGORY 5 HURRICANE...
...SWELLS FROM MARIE EXPECTED TO CAUSE DANGEROUS BEACH CONDITIONS
IN SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA BY TUESDAY...


SUMMARY OF 200 PM PDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...16.0N 112.2W
ABOUT 210 MI...335 KM SSW OF SOCORRO ISLAND
ABOUT 500 MI...805 KM SSW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...160 MPH...260 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 270 DEGREES AT 14 MPH...22 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...918 MB...27.11 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 200 PM PDT...2100 UTC...THE EYE OF HURRICANE MARIE WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 16.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 112.2 WEST.  MARIE HAS BEEN
WOBBLING DURING THE PAST FEW HOURS...BUT THE LONGER TERM MOTION IS
TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 14 MPH...22 KM/H.  MARIE IS FORECAST TO MOVE
WEST-NORTHWESTWARD OR NORTHWESTWARD DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 160 MPH...260 KM/H...
WITH HIGHER GUSTS.  MARIE IS A CATEGORY FIVE HURRICANE ON THE
SAFFIR-SIMPSON HURRICANE WIND SCALE.  FLUCTUATIONS IN INTENSITY ARE
LIKELY DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO...BUT MARIE IS FORECAST TO REMAIN
A MAJOR HURRICANE THROUGH TUESDAY.

MARIE IS A LARGE HURRICANE.  HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP
TO 60 MILES...95 KM...FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 310 MILES...500 KM.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 918 MB...27.11 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
SURF...SWELLS GENERATED BY MARIE ARE AFFECTING THE SOUTHWESTERN
COAST OF MEXICO AND THE SOUTHERN PART OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA
PENINSULA.  THESE SWELLS WILL SPREAD NORTHWESTWARD ALONG THE WEST
COAST OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA AND THE SOUTHERN GULF OF
CALIFORNIA DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO...AND WILL THEN REACH SOUTHERN
CALIFORNIA BY LATE TUESDAY.  THESE SWELLS ARE LIKELY TO CAUSE
LIFE-THREATENING SURF AND RIP CURRENT CONDITIONS...AS WELL AS MINOR
COASTAL FLOODING.  FOR MORE INFORMATION...PLEASE CONSULT PRODUCTS
FROM YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...800 PM PDT.

$$
FORECASTER BERG

NNNN


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Page last modified: Sunday, 19-Oct-2014 12:09:52 UTC