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Hurricane MANUEL


ZCZC MIATCPEP3 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
 
BULLETIN
HURRICANE MANUEL INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER  18A
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP132013
500 PM PDT WED SEP 18 2013
 
...MANUEL BECOMES A HURRICANE...
...NORTHERN EYEWALL ALREADY NEAR THE COAST OF MEXICO...

 
SUMMARY OF 500 PM PDT...0000 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...24.3N 108.0W
ABOUT 20 MI...30 KM...SW OF ALTATA MEXICO
ABOUT 105 MI...165 KM SE OF LOS MOCHIS MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...75 MPH...115 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 350 DEGREES AT 5 MPH...7 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...987 MB...29.15 INCHES
 
 
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
NONE
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* LA CRUZ TO TOPOLOBAMPO
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* MAZATLAN TO LA CRUZ
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* CABO SAN LUCAS TO SAN EVARISTO
 
A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA.  PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND
PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA.
 
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.
 
 
 
DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 500 PM PDT...0000 UTC...THE RAGGED EYE OF HURRICANE MANUEL WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 24.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 108.0 WEST. MANUEL IS
MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 5 MPH...7 KM/H...AND THIS GENERAL
MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TONIGHT AND EARLY THURSDAY.  ON THE
FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF MANUEL WILL BE NEAR OR OVER THE WEST-
CENTRAL COAST OF MEXICO WITHIN THE HURRICANE WARNING AREA THIS
EVENING.
 
VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGES INDICATE THAT MANUEL IS NOW A HURRICANE.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 75 MPH...115 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. SOME SLIGHT STRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE BEFORE THE HURRICANE
MOVES INLAND.
 
MANUEL IS A SMALL HURRICANE...AND THE HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND
OUTWARD TO 20 MILES...30 KM FROM THE CENTER. TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 45 MILES...75 KM FROM THE CENTER.
 
THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 987 MB...29.15 INCHES.
 
 
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE ALREADY OCCURRING ON PORTIONS
OF THE COAST AND THESE CONDITIONS WILL GRADUALLY SPREAD NORTHWARD
TONIGHT AND THURSDAY. HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN
SOON WITHIN THE WARNING AREA.  TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE IN THE SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA.
 
RAINFALL...MANUEL IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE 5 TO 10 INCHES OF RAIN OVER
THE MEXICAN STATE OF SINALOA...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 15
INCHES POSSIBLE.  MANUEL IS ALSO FORECAST TO PRODUCE 3 TO 5 INCHES
OF RAIN OVER THE MEXICAN STATE OF NAYARIT AND OVER THE SOUTHERN
PORTION OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA DURING THE NEXT FEW DAYS.
THESE RAINS COULD PRODUCE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD
SLIDES.
 
STORM SURGE...A DANGEROUS STORM SURGE WILL RAISE WATER LEVELS BY AS
MUCH AS 2 TO 4 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS ALONG THE IMMEDIATE
COAST NEAR AND TO THE SOUTH OF WHERE THE CENTER MAKES LANDFALL.
NEAR THE COAST...THE SURGE WILL BE ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE AND
DESTRUCTIVE WAVES.
 
 
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...800 PM PDT.
 
$$
FORECASTER AVILA
 
NNNN


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Page last modified: Monday, 07-Apr-2014 23:29:32 UTC