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Tropical Storm MANUEL


ZCZC MIATCPEP3 ALL RRA
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
 
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM MANUEL ADVISORY NUMBER  10...RESENT
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP132013
200 PM PDT SUN SEP 15 2013

PRODUCT RESENT DUE TO TRANSMISSION ERROR
 
...MANUEL WEAKENING AFTER LANDFALL NEAR MANZANILLO...
...RISK OF FLASH FLOODING AND MUD SLIDES CONTINUES...
 
 
SUMMARY OF 200 PM PDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...19.2N 104.3W
ABOUT 15 MI...20 KM N OF MANZANILLO MEXICO
ABOUT 160 MI...260 KM WNW OF LAZARO CARDENAS MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...75 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 320 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...998 MB...29.47 INCHES
 
 
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
NONE.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* ZIHANTANEJO TO MANZANILLO
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* WEST OF MANZANILLO TO CABO CORRIENTES
 
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.
 
 
DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 200 PM PDT...2100 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM MANUEL WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 19.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 104.4 WEST. MANUEL IS
MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 9 MPH...15 KM/H...AND THIS MOTION
IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT DAY OR SO.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 50 MPH...85 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  RAPID WEAKENING IS FORECAST...AND MANUEL IS EXPECTED TO
DISSIPATE ON MONDAY.
 
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 105 MILES...165 KM
FROM THE CENTER.
 
THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 998 MB...29.47 INCHES.
 
 
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
RAINFALL...MANUEL IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE 10 TO 15 INCHES OF RAIN
OVER PORTIONS OF THE MEXICAN STATES OF GUERRERO AND MICHOACAN...WITH
ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 25 INCHES POSSIBLE.  RAINFALL
ACCUMULATIONS OF 5 TO 10 INCHES...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF
20 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE IN THE MEXICAN STATES OF COLIMA...JALISCO
AND NAYARIT. THESE RAINS ARE LIKELY TO RESULT IN LIFE-THREATENING
FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES...ESPECIALLY IN REGIONS OF MOUNTAINOUS
TERRAIN.
 
WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE OCCURRING IN PORTIONS OF THE
WARNING AREA AND WILL CONTINUE INTO THIS EVENING. TROPICAL STORM
CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE IN THE WATCH AREA TONIGHT AND MONDAY.
 
STORM SURGE...A STORM SURGE IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE COASTAL FLOODING
TO THE SOUTH AND EAST OF THE CENTER OF MANUEL. NEAR THE COAST...THE
SURGE WILL BE ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE AND DESTRUCTIVE WAVES.
 
SURF...SWELLS GENERATED BY MANUEL ARE AFFECTING PORTIONS OF THE
COAST OF MEXICO BETWEEN THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC AND MANZANILLO.
THESE SWELLS ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF
DAYS...AND WILL CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING SURF AND RIP CURRENT
CONDITIONS.  PLEASE CONSULT PRODUCTS FROM YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
 
 
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...500 PM PDT.
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...800 PM PDT.
 
$$
FORECASTER KIMBERLAIN/ZELINSKY
 
NNNN


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Page last modified: Monday, 07-Apr-2014 23:29:31 UTC