Skip Navigation Links weather.gov   
NOAA logo - Click to go to the NOAA homepage National Weather Service   NWS logo - Click to go to the NWS homepage
National Hurricane Center
Local forecast by
"City, St" or "ZIP"

 
Alternate Formats
   Text     |   Mobile
   Email   |   RSS XML/RSS logo
   About Alternates
Cyclone Forecasts
   Latest Advisory
   Past Advisories
   Audio/Podcasts
   About Advisories
Marine Forecasts
   Atlantic & E Pacific
   Gridded Marine
   About Marine
Tools & Data
   Satellite | Radar
   Analysis Tools
   Aircraft Recon
   GIS Datasets
   Data Archive
Development
   Experimental
   Research
   Forecast Accuracy
Outreach & Education
   Prepare
   Storm Surge
   About Cyclones
   Cyclone Names
   Wind Scale
   Most Extreme
   Forecast Models
   Breakpoints
   Resources
   Glossary | Acronyms
   Frequent Questions
Our Organization
   About NHC
   Mission & Vision
   Staff | Q&A
   Visitors | Virtual Tour
   Library Branch
   NCEP | Newsletter
Contact Us
   Comments
Follow the National Hurricane Cent
er on Facebook Follow the National Hurricane Center on Twitter
FirstGov.gov is the U.S. Government's official Web portal to all Federal, state and local government Web resources and services.
 
 

Tropical Storm KRISTY


ZCZC MIATCDEP1 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
 
TROPICAL STORM KRISTY DISCUSSION NUMBER  15
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP112012
800 PM PDT SAT SEP 15 2012
 
CONVECTION NEAR KRISTY HAS BEEN ON A GRADUAL DECLINE...WITH THE
CENTER ON THE NORTHWESTERN EDGE OF A SMALL CENTRAL DENSE OVERCAST.
THERE HAS ALSO BEEN SOME SUGGESTION RECENTLY ON MICROWAVE IMAGERY
AND LAST LIGHT VISIBLE IMAGES THAT THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION IS
BEGINNING TO DECOUPLE FROM THE MID-LEVEL CENTER.  SATELLITE
ESTIMATES ARE SLOWLY DROPPING...SO THE INITIAL WIND SPEED IS
LOWERED TO 35 KT.  THE STORM IS MOVING OVER RATHER COOL WATERS AND
FURTHER WEAKENING IS LIKELY.  THE NHC FORECAST IS AN UPDATE OF THE
PREVIOUS ONE...AND A LITTLE HIGHER THAN THE GUIDANCE EARLY IN THE
FORECAST PERIOD.
 
THE CYCLONE CONTINUES TO MOVE TOWARD THE NORTHWEST AT ABOUT 8 KT
AROUND THE PERIPHERY OF A SUBTROPICAL RIDGE OVER WESTERN MEXICO. 
KRISTY SHOULD GRADUALLY TURN TOWARD THE NORTH TOMORROW AS IT
BECOMES A SHALLOW CYCLONE...THEN MEANDER OFFSHORE OF THE
WEST-CENTRAL COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA.  THE LATEST TRACK FORECAST
IS NEAR OR JUST A LITTLE EAST OF THE PREVIOUS ONE.
 
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
 
INIT  16/0300Z 23.7N 116.2W   35 KT  40 MPH
 12H  16/1200Z 24.5N 117.2W   35 KT  40 MPH
 24H  17/0000Z 25.6N 118.4W   30 KT  35 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
 36H  17/1200Z 26.4N 118.8W   25 KT  30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
 48H  18/0000Z 27.0N 118.5W   20 KT  25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
 72H  19/0000Z...DISSIPATED
 
$$
FORECASTER BLAKE
 
NNNN


Quick Navigation Links:
Tropical Cyclone Forecasts  -  Tropical Marine Forecasts  -  Data Archive
Outreach  -  Prepare  -  About Cyclones  -  About NHC  -  Contact Us

NOAA/ National Weather Service
National Centers for Environmental Prediction
National Hurricane Center
11691 SW 17th Street
Miami, Florida 33165-2149 USA
nhcwebmaster@noaa.gov
Disclaimer
Credits
Information Quality
Glossary
Privacy Policy
Freedom of Information Act (FOIA)
About Us
Career Opportunities
Page last modified: Monday, 31-Dec-2012 12:10:33 UTC