Tropical Storm NADINE

ZCZC MIATCDAT4 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
 
TROPICAL STORM NADINE DISCUSSION NUMBER  85
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL142012
500 PM AST WED OCT 03 2012
 
NADINE HAS BECOME A TIGHT SWIRL DEVOID OF DEEP CONVECTION. THE
INITIAL INTENSITY HAS BEEN LOWERED TO 40 KNOTS...AND IF NO NEW DEEP
CONVECTIVE CELLS DEVELOP...AS ANTICIPATED...NADINE WILL DE DECLARED
A POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE TONIGHT OR EARLY THURSDAY. HOWEVER...THE
CYCLONE COULD STILL PRODUCE TROPICAL-STORM- OR GALE-FORCE WINDS AS
IT PASSES NEAR THE AZORES IN ABOUT 12 HOURS OR SO.

NADINE IS FULLY EMBEDDED WITHIN THE FLOW AROUND A MUCH LARGER
EXTRATROPICAL CYCLONE...AND IT IS RUNNING NORTHEASTWARD AT ABOUT 16
KT AHEAD OF A FAST-APPROACHING COLD FRONT. A GRADUAL TURN TO THE
NORTH IS EXPECTED ON THURSDAY...AND THEN POST-TROPICAL NADINE
SHOULD BECOME FULLY ABSORBED BY THE SAME LOW WITHIN WHICH IT IS
EMBEDDED. 

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
 
INIT  03/2100Z 36.1N  31.9W   40 KT  45 MPH
 12H  04/0600Z 38.0N  30.0W   35 KT  40 MPH
 24H  04/1800Z 43.0N  26.5W   35 KT  40 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
 36H  05/0600Z 46.5N  25.0W   35 KT  40 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
 48H  05/1800Z 48.0N  25.0W   35 KT  40 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
 72H  06/1800Z...ABSORBED
 
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FORECASTER AVILA
 
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