Skip Navigation Links weather.gov   
NOAA logo - Click to go to the NOAA homepage National Weather Service   NWS logo - Click to go to the NWS homepage
National Hurricane Center
Local forecast by
"City, St" or "ZIP"

 
Alternate Formats
   Text     |   Mobile
   Email   |   RSS XML/RSS logo
   About Alternates
Cyclone Forecasts
   Latest Advisory
   Past Advisories
   Audio/Podcasts
   About Advisories
Marine Forecasts
   Atlantic & E Pacific
   Gridded Marine
   About Marine
Tools & Data
   Satellite | Radar
   Analysis Tools
   Aircraft Recon
   GIS Datasets
   Data Archive
Development
   Experimental
   Research
   Forecast Accuracy
Outreach & Education
   Prepare
   Storm Surge
   About Cyclones
   Cyclone Names
   Wind Scale
   Most Extreme
   Forecast Models
   Breakpoints
   Resources
   Glossary | Acronyms
   Frequent Questions
Our Organization
   About NHC
   Mission & Vision
   Staff | Q&A
   Visitors | Virtual Tour
   Library Branch
   NCEP | Newsletter
Contact Us
   Comments
Follow the National Hurricane Center on Facebook Follow the National Hurricane Center on Twitter
Subscribe the National Hurricane Center on YouTube Read the National Hurricane Center Inside the Eye blog on WordPress
FirstGov.gov is the U.S. Government's official Web portal to all Federal, state and local government Web resources and services.
 
 

Tropical Storm GEORGETTE


ZCZC MIATCDEP2 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
TROPICAL STORM GEORGETTE SPECIAL DISCUSSION NUMBER   1
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP122010
500 AM PDT TUE SEP 21 2010
 
DEEP CONVECTION HAS INCREASED NEAR THE AREA OF LOW PRESSURE LOCATED
SOUTH OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA DURING THE PAST
SEVERAL HOURS...AND IT IS WELL ORGANIZED ENOUGH TO BE CLASSIFIED AS
A TROPICAL CYCLONE AT THIS TIME.  SINCE AN ASCAT PASS FROM
YESTERDAY...AND SHIP DFZA2 FROM 0300 UTC...INDICATED THAT THE
SYSTEM WAS ALREADY PRODUCING TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS...THE
SYSTEM IS BEING NAMED TROPICAL STORM GEORGETTE WITH 35-KT WINDS. 
GEORGETTE IS EXPECTED TO MOVE INLAND OVER BAJA CALIFORNIA LATER
TODAY AND SHOULD WEAKEN TO A DEPRESSION ON WEDNESDAY.  GLOBAL MODEL
FIELDS SUGGEST THAT THE CIRCULATION WILL BE SHORT-LIVED...AND THE
OFFICIAL FORECAST CALLS FOR THE CYCLONE TO DISSIPATE OVER THE
GULF OF CALIFORNIA BY WEDNESDAY NIGHT.

GEORGETTE IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 335 DEGREES AT 8
KNOTS.  THE CYCLONE IS EXPECTED TO BE STEERED NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD
ON THE WEST SIDE OF A MID-LEVEL RIDGE EXTENDING ACROSS MEXICO UNTIL
IT DISSIPATES IN ABOUT 48 HOURS.  THE NHC FORECAST IS JUST TO THE
EAST OF THE MODEL CONSENSUS NEAR THE GFS AND ECMWF MODELS. 
 
 
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
 
INITIAL      21/1200Z 22.1N 109.5W    35 KT
 12HR VT     21/1800Z 23.1N 110.1W    35 KT
 24HR VT     22/0600Z 25.4N 111.5W    30 KT...INLAND
 36HR VT     22/1800Z 28.1N 112.3W    25 KT...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
 48HR VT     23/0600Z...DISSIPATED
 
$$
FORECASTER BERG
 
NNNN


Quick Navigation Links:
Tropical Cyclone Forecasts  -  Tropical Marine Forecasts  -  Data Archive
Outreach  -  Prepare  -  About Cyclones  -  About NHC  -  Contact Us

NOAA/ National Weather Service
National Centers for Environmental Prediction
National Hurricane Center
11691 SW 17th Street
Miami, Florida 33165 USA
nhcwebmaster@noaa.gov
Disclaimer
Credits
Information Quality
Glossary
Privacy Policy
Freedom of Information Act (FOIA)
About Us
Career Opportunities
Page last modified: Friday, 15-Apr-2011 12:09:35 UTC