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Tropical Depression KIKO


ZCZC MIATCDEP5 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
TROPICAL DEPRESSION KIKO DISCUSSION NUMBER  36
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP152007
200 PM PDT TUE OCT 23 2007

SINCE THE LAST ADVISORY...THE CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY HAS DIMINISHED AND
KIKO IS NOW IS A SWIRL OF LOW-LEVEL CLOUDS.  ANALYSIS FROM A 1326
UTC QUIKSCAT PASS INDICATED A FEW CREDIBLE 30 KT WIND VECTORS...
HOWEVER...IT IS PROBABLE THAT KIKO HAS BEEN WEAKENING SINCE THAT
TIME.  

DURING THE LAST 24 HOURS...DEEP CONVECTION HAS SPORADICALLY
DEVELOPED AND QUICKLY WEAKENED.  GIVEN THE LACK OF PERSISTENCE AND
ORGANIZATION OF THE CONVECTION...THIS SYSTEM NO LONGER QUALIFIES AS
A TROPICAL CYCLONE.  WHILE ADDITIONAL TEMPORARY BURSTS OF
CONVECTION MIGHT RECUR...A CONTINUED SPIN-DOWN OF THE REMNANT
CYCLONE IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS AS IT MOVES
GENERALLY WESTWARD WITHIN THE LOW-LEVEL STEERING FLOW.  THIS IS THE
LAST ADVISORY ON KIKO UNLESS REGENERATION OCCURS. 

ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON THIS SYSTEM CAN BE FOUND IN HIGH SEAS
FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE...UNDER AWIPS
HEADER NFDHSFEP1 AND WMO HEADER FZPN01 KWBC.
 
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
 
INITIAL      23/2100Z 18.3N 114.4W    25 KT
 12HR VT     24/0600Z 18.1N 116.2W    20 KT...REMNANT LOW
 24HR VT     24/1800Z 18.2N 118.3W    20 KT...REMNANT LOW
 36HR VT     25/0600Z 18.3N 120.3W    20 KT...REMNANT LOW
 48HR VT     25/1800Z 19.0N 122.5W    20 KT...REMNANT LOW
 72HR VT     26/1800Z...DISSIPATED
 
$$
FORECASTER MAINELLI
 
NNNN


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Page last modified: Friday, 02-Nov-2007 21:21:06 UTC