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TROPICAL STORM COSME WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 17
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP062007
1500 UTC WED JUL 18 2007
AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM COSME WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 15.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 138.9 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS NEAR 35 KTS...40 MPH...65 KM/HR.
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE
IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
12Z WED AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME
HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 12Z SAT 12Z SUN
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 12Z SAT 12Z SUN 12Z MON
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
15N 145W 34 X 3( 3) 10(13) 1(14) X(14) X(14) X(14)
BUOY 50004 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 11(13) X(13) 1(14)
BUOY 50004 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
HILO 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 1( 6) X( 6)
SOUTH POINT 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 4( 9) X( 9)
KAILUA-KONA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 2( 6) X( 6)
KAHULUI 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3)
LANAI CITY 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3)
KAUNAKAKAI 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3)
BUOY 50002 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 4( 8) X( 8)
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 12Z SAT 12Z SUN
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 12Z SAT 12Z SUN 12Z MON
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
HR POSITIONS KT
12 154N 1407W 34 40 3(43) X(43) X(43) X(43) X(43) X(43)
12 154N 1407W 50 2 X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2)
12 154N 1407W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X)
24 159N 1433W 34 1 17(18) 4(22) X(22) X(22) X(22) X(22)
24 159N 1433W 50 X 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
24 159N 1433W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X)
36 164N 1461W 34 X 1( 1) 14(15) 6(21) X(21) X(21) X(21)
36 164N 1461W 50 X X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2)
36 164N 1461W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X)
48 168N 1492W 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 13(14) 4(18) X(18) X(18)
48 168N 1492W 50 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
48 168N 1492W 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
72 175N 1555W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 8( 8) 2(10) X(10)
72 175N 1555W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) X( 2)
72 175N 1555W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X)
96 180N 1610W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 2( 6)
96 180N 1610W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1)
96 180N 1610W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X)
120 180N 1660W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2)
120 180N 1660W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X)
120 180N 1660W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X)
- - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND 35 30 30 30 30 25 25
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
$$
FORECASTER BEVEN
NNNN
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Page last modified: Friday, 02-Nov-2007 21:20:57 UTC