Skip Navigation Links weather.gov   
NOAA logo - Click to go to the NOAA homepage National Weather Service   NWS logo - Click to go to the NWS homepage
National Hurricane Center
Local forecast by
"City, St" or "ZIP"

 
Alternate Formats
   Text     |   Mobile
   Email   |   RSS XML/RSS logo
   About Alternates
Cyclone Forecasts
   Latest Advisory
   Past Advisories
   Audio/Podcasts
   About Advisories
Marine Forecasts
   Atlantic & E Pacific
   Gridded Marine
   About Marine
Tools & Data
   Satellite | Radar
   Analysis Tools
   Aircraft Recon
   GIS Datasets
   Data Archive
Development
   Experimental
   Research
   Forecast Accuracy
Outreach & Education
   Prepare
   Storm Surge
   About Cyclones
   Cyclone Names
   Wind Scale
   Most Extreme
   Forecast Models
   Breakpoints
   Resources
   Glossary | Acronyms
   Frequent Questions
Our Organization
   About NHC
   Mission & Vision
   Staff | Q&A
   Visitors | Virtual Tour
   Library Branch
   NCEP | Newsletter
Contact Us
   Comments
Follow the National Hurricane Center on Facebook Follow the National Hurricane Center on Twitter
Subscribe the National Hurricane Center on YouTube Read the National Hurricane Center Inside the Eye blog on WordPress
FirstGov.gov is the U.S. Government's official Web portal to all Federal, state and local government Web resources and services.
 
 

Tropical Depression FIFTEEN


ZCZC MIATCDAT5 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
TROPICAL DEPRESSION FIFTEEN DISCUSSION NUMBER   4
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL152007
1100 AM EDT FRI OCT 12 2007
 
THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION IS BECOMING LESS DISTINCT AND DEEP
CONVECTION IS LIMITED TO A FEW CELLS OVER THE NORTHERN SEMICIRCLE.
CONSEQUENTLY...DVORAK-T-NUMBERS HAVE DECREASED. THE INITIAL
INTENSITY HAS BEEN LOWERED TO 25 KNOTS AND BECAUSE THE SHEAR IS
FORECAST TO INCREASE SIGNIFICANTLY...THE DEPRESSION SHOULD BECOME A
REMNANT LOW IN ABOUT 24 HOURS OR SOONER. 

THE DEPRESSION IS DRIFTING EASTWARD ABOUT 2 KNOTS. STEERING CURRENTS
ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN VERY LIGHT AND NO SIGNIFICANT MOTION IS
ANTICIPATED UNTIL DISSIPATION.
 
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
 
INITIAL      12/1500Z 30.1N  49.1W    25 KT
 12HR VT     13/0000Z 30.2N  48.9W    25 KT
 24HR VT     13/1200Z 30.5N  49.0W    20 KT...REMNANT LOW
 36HR VT     14/0000Z...DISSIPATED

$$
FORECASTER AVILA
 
NNNN


Quick Navigation Links:
Tropical Cyclone Forecasts  -  Tropical Marine Forecasts  -  Data Archive
Outreach  -  Prepare  -  About Cyclones  -  About NHC  -  Contact Us

NOAA/ National Weather Service
National Centers for Environmental Prediction
National Hurricane Center
11691 SW 17th Street
Miami, Florida 33165-2149 USA
nhcwebmaster@noaa.gov
Disclaimer
Credits
Information Quality
Glossary
Privacy Policy
Freedom of Information Act (FOIA)
About Us
Career Opportunities
Page last modified: Friday, 02-Nov-2007 21:20:52 UTC