ZCZC MIAPWSEP2 ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM TROPICAL STORM KRISTY WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 3 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP122006 1500 UTC WED AUG 30 2006 AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM KRISTY WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 16.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 115.1 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 50 KTS...60 MPH...95 KM/HR. CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 12Z WED AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 12Z SAT 12Z SUN PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 12Z SAT 12Z SUN 12Z MON FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT ISLA CLARION 34 9 7(16) 3(19) 1(20) 1(21) X(21) X(21) - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 12Z SAT 12Z SUN PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 12Z SAT 12Z SUN 12Z MON FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - HR POSITIONS KT 12 172N 1158W 34 88 6(94) 1(95) X(95) X(95) X(95) X(95) 12 172N 1158W 50 45 15(60) 2(62) X(62) X(62) X(62) X(62) 12 172N 1158W 64 12 5(17) X(17) X(17) X(17) X(17) X(17) 24 178N 1170W 34 16 54(70) 11(81) 1(82) X(82) X(82) X(82) 24 178N 1170W 50 3 32(35) 10(45) 2(47) X(47) X(47) X(47) 24 178N 1170W 64 X 12(12) 5(17) 1(18) X(18) X(18) X(18) 36 185N 1185W 34 1 22(23) 38(61) 8(69) 3(72) X(72) X(72) 36 185N 1185W 50 X 4( 4) 22(26) 7(33) 1(34) X(34) X(34) 36 185N 1185W 64 X 1( 1) 9(10) 3(13) 1(14) X(14) X(14) 48 192N 1200W 34 1 3( 4) 26(30) 18(48) 9(57) 1(58) X(58) 48 192N 1200W 50 X X( X) 7( 7) 12(19) 6(25) X(25) X(25) 48 192N 1200W 64 X X( X) 2( 2) 4( 6) 3( 9) X( 9) X( 9) 72 200N 1230W 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 8(10) 19(29) 4(33) 1(34) 72 200N 1230W 50 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 6( 8) 2(10) X(10) 72 200N 1230W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) 96 200N 1250W 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 11(13) 5(18) 2(20) 96 200N 1250W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) 96 200N 1250W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 120 200N 1270W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 4( 8) 2(10) 120 200N 1270W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) 1( 2) 120 200N 1270W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) - - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - - FCST MAX WIND 60 65 70 65 55 45 35 FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) $$ FORECASTER PASCH NNNN
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Page last modified: Monday, 11-Sep-2006 11:28:44 UTC