ZCZC MIAPWSEP4 ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM HURRICANE HECTOR WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 10 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP092006 0300 UTC FRI AUG 18 2006 AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE HECTOR WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 15.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 123.2 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 80 KTS...90 MPH...150 KM/HR. CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 00Z FRI AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT ...THERE ARE NO LOCATIONS WITH TOTAL ACCUMLATED 5 DAY PROBABILITIES GREATER THAN 2 PERCENT... - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - HR POSITIONS KT 12 159N 1248W 34 97 2(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) 12 159N 1248W 50 80 8(88) X(88) X(88) X(88) X(88) X(88) 12 159N 1248W 64 43 16(59) X(59) X(59) X(59) X(59) X(59) 24 167N 1267W 34 22 64(86) 6(92) 1(93) X(93) X(93) X(93) 24 167N 1267W 50 2 50(52) 10(62) 1(63) X(63) X(63) X(63) 24 167N 1267W 64 X 26(26) 8(34) 1(35) X(35) X(35) X(35) 36 176N 1286W 34 2 25(27) 40(67) 7(74) 2(76) X(76) X(76) 36 176N 1286W 50 X 4( 4) 27(31) 6(37) 1(38) X(38) X(38) 36 176N 1286W 64 X 1( 1) 13(14) 2(16) 1(17) X(17) X(17) 48 184N 1301W 34 X 4( 4) 29(33) 17(50) 7(57) X(57) X(57) 48 184N 1301W 50 X X( X) 8( 8) 11(19) 4(23) X(23) X(23) 48 184N 1301W 64 X X( X) 2( 2) 4( 6) 1( 7) X( 7) X( 7) 72 200N 1328W 34 X X( X) 3( 3) 7(10) 16(26) 3(29) X(29) 72 200N 1328W 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) 1( 7) X( 7) 72 200N 1328W 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) 96 215N 1355W 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) 3( 9) 1(10) 96 215N 1355W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) 96 215N 1355W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 120 225N 1385W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) 120 225N 1385W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 120 225N 1385W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) - - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - - FCST MAX WIND 90 85 75 65 50 30 25 FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) $$ FORECASTER BROWN/AVILA NNNN
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Page last modified: Monday, 11-Sep-2006 11:28:42 UTC