ZCZC MIAPWSEP1 ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM TROPICAL STORM EMILIA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 17 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP062006 1500 UTC TUE JUL 25 2006 AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM EMILIA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 20.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 111.3 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 55 KTS...65 MPH...100 KM/HR. CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 12Z TUE AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 12Z FRI 12Z SAT PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 12Z FRI 12Z SAT 12Z SUN FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT P ABREOJOS 34 1 2( 3) 2( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) CABO SAN LUCAS 34 14 3(17) X(17) X(17) X(17) X(17) X(17) SAN JOSE CABO 34 10 2(12) X(12) X(12) X(12) X(12) X(12) LA PAZ 34 7 4(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) LORETO 34 2 3( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) CULICAN 34 2 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) ISLA SOCORRO 34 5 1( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) ISLA CLARION 34 2 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 12Z FRI 12Z SAT PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 12Z FRI 12Z SAT 12Z SUN FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - HR POSITIONS KT 12 218N 1123W 34 89 5(94) X(94) X(94) X(94) X(94) X(94) 12 218N 1123W 50 53 11(64) X(64) X(64) X(64) X(64) X(64) 12 218N 1123W 64 9 3(12) X(12) X(12) X(12) X(12) X(12) 24 233N 1140W 34 10 47(57) 6(63) X(63) X(63) X(63) X(63) 24 233N 1140W 50 X 18(18) 3(21) X(21) X(21) X(21) X(21) 24 233N 1140W 64 X 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) 36 243N 1155W 34 2 14(16) 16(32) 3(35) 1(36) X(36) X(36) 36 243N 1155W 50 X 1( 1) 6( 7) X( 7) 1( 8) X( 8) X( 8) 36 243N 1155W 64 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 48 252N 1168W 34 X 3( 3) 9(12) 6(18) 3(21) X(21) X(21) 48 252N 1168W 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) 48 252N 1168W 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 72 258N 1196W 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 5( 7) X( 7) X( 7) 72 258N 1196W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) X( 2) 72 258N 1196W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) - - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - - FCST MAX WIND 60 50 40 30 25 0 0 FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) $$ FORECASTER RHOME/BEVEN NNNN
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Page last modified: Monday, 11-Sep-2006 11:28:41 UTC