ZCZC MIAPWSAT4 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
HURRICANE ISAAC WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 18
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092006
0300 UTC MON OCT 02 2006
AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE ISAAC WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE
38.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 58.8 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR
65 KTS...75 MPH...120 KM/HR.
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE
IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
00Z MON AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
HIBERNIA OILFD 34 X 9( 9) 9(18) X(18) X(18) X(18) X(18)
CAPE RACE NFLD 34 1 76(77) 3(80) X(80) X(80) X(80) X(80)
CAPE RACE NFLD 50 X 18(18) 1(19) X(19) X(19) X(19) X(19)
CAPE RACE NFLD 64 X 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
ILE ST PIERRE 34 2 42(44) 1(45) X(45) X(45) X(45) X(45)
ILE ST PIERRE 50 X 7( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7)
BURGEO NFLD 34 X 10(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) X(10)
PTX BASQUES 34 X 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
SYDNEY NS 34 1 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
SABLE ISLAND 34 3 2( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
HR POSITIONS KT
12 425N 572W 34 96 1(97) X(97) X(97) X(97) X(97) X(97)
12 425N 572W 50 41 10(51) X(51) X(51) X(51) X(51) X(51)
12 425N 572W 64 11 2(13) X(13) X(13) X(13) X(13) X(13)
24 478N 535W 34 X 70(70) 5(75) X(75) X(75) X(75) X(75)
24 478N 535W 50 X 17(17) 7(24) X(24) X(24) X(24) X(24)
24 478N 535W 64 X 4( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
36 515N 493W 34 X 3( 3) 47(50) 9(59) X(59) X(59) X(59)
36 515N 493W 50 X X( X) 11(11) 6(17) X(17) X(17) X(17)
36 515N 493W 64 X X( X) 3( 3) 2( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
48 533N 455W 34 X X( X) 14(14) 32(46) X(46) X(46) X(46)
48 533N 455W 50 X X( X) 2( 2) 10(12) X(12) X(12) X(12)
48 533N 455W 64 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
- - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND 60 50 45 45 0 0 0
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
$$
FORECASTER RHOME/KNABB
NNNN
Alternate Formats
About Alternates -
E-Mail Advisories -
RSS Feeds
Cyclone Forecasts
Latest Advisory -
Past Advisories -
About Advisories
Marine Forecasts
Latest Products -
About Marine Products
Tools & Data
Satellite Imagery -
US Weather Radar -
Aircraft Recon -
Local Data Archive -
Forecast Verification -
Deadliest/Costliest/Most Intense
Learn About Hurricanes
Storm Names
Wind Scale -
Prepare -
Climatology -
NHC Glossary -
NHC Acronyms -
Frequently Asked Questions -
AOML Hurricane-Research Division
About Us
About NHC -
Mission/Vision -
Other NCEP Centers -
NHC Staff -
Visitor Information -
NHC Library
NOAA/
National Weather Service
National Centers for Environmental Prediction
National Hurricane Center
11691 SW 17th Street
Miami, Florida, 33165-2149 USA
nhcwebmaster@noaa.gov
Disclaimer
Privacy Policy
Credits
About Us
Glossary
Career Opportunities
Page last modified: Monday, 02-Oct-2006 02:50:02 UTC